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Records behind EBRC

Historical records, visible limits

Yuval HalfonRecords prepared: November 10, 2026

These records expose the complete historical chain and half-split summaries, dated daily outputs, and the changed questions behind the XLF and return corrections. The live result remains a historical tally, not a reconstructed event ledger.

All eleven historical chains

0%50%100%
BAC
61.88%n = 80,906
C
55.61%n = 228,565
DB
66.80%n = 11,564
GS
70.47%n = 29,449
JPM
66.31%n = 52,754
MS
65.59%n = 31,809
PNC
76.13%n = 55,530
UBS
64.29%n = 14,357
USB
58.41%n = 95,769
WFC
54.38%n = 128,017
XLF
63.53%n = 60,759
Exact values, chain inputs and the four Q-column pairs
All original chain fields and values
chainn_predacc_overallQ0_accQ0_nQ1_accQ1_nQ2_accQ2_nQ3_accQ3_n
C+WFC+MS+GS+PNC->BAC809060.61880.67302110.5996366550.6764154370.611928603
JPM+BAC+GS->C2285650.55610.58135780.5411914360.5557462190.571290332
C+XLF+MS+PNC+JPM->DB115640.66800.857170.695238150.738820600.62395682
BAC+XLF+PNC+USB+JPM->GS294490.70470.7059680.7184129560.695663460.692910079
XLF+BAC+DB+C+WFC->JPM527540.66310.5833240.6745185270.665983050.654125898
C+XLF+DB+USB+UBS->MS318090.65590.8333120.6497115630.637042920.665415942
XLF+BAC+USB+MS+WFC->PNC555300.76130.80301320.7771250360.7761119170.729918445
C+XLF+MS+JPM+PNC->UBS143570.64290.6875320.651456460.693225230.61426156
C+WFC+MS+JPM+PNC->USB957690.58410.58503590.5716419510.6459168720.569936587
JPM+USB+PNC+GS+C->WFC1280170.54380.54445180.5383537330.5587258100.542047956
JPM+C+MS+GS+PNC->XLF607590.63530.75531880.6030308310.6965111740.650918566

Scope and limits

  • All chains are shown; the reported across-chain mean is unweighted, not pooled event accuracy.
  • Past-only updates do not isolate chain discovery from evaluation dates.
  • Q-column labels remain verbatim; their boundaries receive no new interpretation.
Record context and full qualifications

Recorded May 6, 2026. Question: how often did each selected chain predict its target direction under past-only count updates? The PNC chain used a nominal horizon parameter H=1.000 seconds. The archived historical implementation compares midpoint values at t+L and t+H+2L; at its documented/default L=140 ms, those endpoints are 1.140 seconds apart. The exact invocation for the published summary has not been recovered. The historical procedure uses a 60-day half-life and a minimum of 20 observations.

The complete file is shown, not only the strongest target. The reported across-chain mean is unweighted, not pooled event accuracy. Chronological updates do not isolate chain discovery from evaluation dates. Q-column labels are retained verbatim in the download; no new interpretation of their boundaries is asserted.

How this extract was made

Retain all rows, all columns and exact bytes. The target-level points convert the recorded fractional accuracy to percent for display. Original rounding and prediction denominators are retained. Nothing is dropped.

Download bank-chains-historical.csv · 11 rows · 987 bytes
SHA-256 8a31747013857b5e4d9a03abc5508f859cfa94b7cadb2ef60dc993edafea0739

← Back to this result in the paper

Every recorded historical day

Open a target to inspect every dated row. PNC is open initially. Circles are recorded accuracy where predictions exist; crosses along the bottom mean no predictions.

BAC · C+WFC+MS+GS+PNC->BAC
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

Tap a point, or focus the plot and use arrow keys.

Exact values: every recorded day
BAC: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-229171.43%0.7143
1212024-10-235868.97%0.6897
1222024-10-246259.68%0.5968
1232024-10-257964.56%0.6456
1242024-10-286071.67%0.7167
1252024-10-294465.91%0.6591
1262024-10-308365.06%0.6506
1272024-10-3111369.91%0.6991
1282024-11-017055.71%0.5571
1292024-11-0410771.03%0.7103
1302024-11-056481.25%0.8125
1312024-11-0666358.67%0.5867
1322024-11-0713674.26%0.7426
1332024-11-087163.38%0.6338
1342024-11-119258.70%0.5870
1352024-11-123577.14%0.7714
1362024-11-137373.97%0.7397
1372024-11-149171.43%0.7143
1382024-11-1513868.12%0.6812
1392024-11-183976.92%0.7692
1402024-11-198855.68%0.5568
1412024-11-206877.94%0.7794
1422024-11-219572.63%0.7263
1432024-11-225867.24%0.6724
1442024-11-267167.61%0.6761
1452024-11-273275.00%0.7500
1462024-11-292556.00%0.5600
1472024-12-027068.57%0.6857
1482024-12-033974.36%0.7436
1492024-12-045563.64%0.6364
1502024-12-056073.33%0.7333
1512024-12-063677.78%0.7778
1522024-12-094967.35%0.6735
1532024-12-109066.67%0.6667
1542024-12-117367.12%0.6712
1552024-12-125176.47%0.7647
1562024-12-136962.32%0.6232
1572024-12-165959.32%0.5932
1582024-12-176170.49%0.7049
1592024-12-1839960.65%0.6065
1602024-12-1928562.11%0.6211
1612024-12-2026864.18%0.6418
1622024-12-2326061.15%0.6115
1632024-12-242673.08%0.7308
1642024-12-264365.12%0.6512
1652024-12-2714464.58%0.6458
1662024-12-3015361.44%0.6144
1672024-12-3115061.33%0.6133
1682025-01-0233661.01%0.6101
1692025-01-0313850.72%0.5072
1702025-01-0619362.18%0.6218
1712025-01-0733465.57%0.6557
1722025-01-0814764.63%0.6463
1732025-01-1032260.56%0.6056
1742025-01-1320770.05%0.7005
1752025-01-1417858.99%0.5899
1762025-01-1524360.49%0.6049
1772025-01-1623056.96%0.5696
1782025-01-1714763.95%0.6395
1792025-01-218668.60%0.6860
1802025-01-228961.80%0.6180
1812025-01-236672.73%0.7273
1822025-01-244866.67%0.6667
1832025-01-2716764.67%0.6467
1842025-01-289379.57%0.7957
1852025-01-2921866.51%0.6651
1862025-01-3016971.01%0.7101
1872025-01-3118379.23%0.7923
1882025-02-0337563.20%0.6320
1892025-02-049271.74%0.7174
1902025-02-055675.00%0.7500
1912025-02-065366.04%0.6604
1922025-02-0718168.51%0.6851
1932025-02-108465.48%0.6548
1942025-02-114671.74%0.7174
1952025-02-126380.95%0.8095
1962025-02-137371.23%0.7123
1972025-02-144470.45%0.7045
1982025-02-186071.67%0.7167
1992025-02-195962.71%0.6271
2002025-02-2010678.30%0.7830
2012025-02-2113174.05%0.7405
2022025-02-2415768.79%0.6879
2032025-02-2525766.15%0.6615
2042025-02-2617975.98%0.7598
2052025-02-2733569.25%0.6925
2062025-02-2830962.14%0.6214
2072025-03-0347563.79%0.6379
2082025-03-0483061.08%0.6108
2092025-03-0566763.42%0.6342
2102025-03-0644167.80%0.6780
2112025-03-0754571.93%0.7193
2122025-03-1063265.82%0.6582
2132025-03-11111058.56%0.5856
2142025-03-1238369.45%0.6945
2152025-03-1331969.59%0.6959
2162025-03-1419070.00%0.7000
2172025-03-1718265.38%0.6538
2182025-03-1826273.28%0.7328
2192025-03-1925370.36%0.7036
2202025-03-2020869.23%0.6923
2212025-03-2116669.28%0.6928
2222025-03-2411380.53%0.8053
2232025-03-259367.74%0.6774
2242025-03-2612169.42%0.6942
2252025-03-2721764.52%0.6452
2262025-03-2817967.04%0.6704
2272025-03-3127071.48%0.7148
2282025-04-0132166.04%0.6604
2292025-04-0226974.72%0.7472
2302025-04-0390362.35%0.6235
2312025-04-04176856.28%0.5628
2322025-04-07384550.20%0.5020
2332025-04-08192353.15%0.5315
2342025-04-09305052.26%0.5226
2352025-04-10174851.37%0.5137
2362025-04-11106051.51%0.5151
2372025-04-1449157.84%0.5784
2382025-04-1541153.77%0.5377
2392025-04-1630159.14%0.5914
2402025-04-1737553.07%0.5307
2412025-04-2115868.99%0.6899
2422025-04-2225859.30%0.5930
2432025-04-2372150.49%0.5049
2442025-04-2416860.12%0.6012
2452025-04-2514059.29%0.5929
2462025-04-2813759.12%0.5912
2472025-04-2914671.23%0.7123
2482025-04-3024463.11%0.6311
2492025-05-0120168.66%0.6866
2502025-05-0212265.57%0.6557
2512025-05-058870.45%0.7045
2522025-05-0610966.97%0.6697
2532025-05-0735867.88%0.6788
2542025-05-0819171.20%0.7120
2552025-05-0910076.00%0.7600
2562025-05-1220662.14%0.6214
2572025-05-139479.79%0.7979
2582025-05-147770.13%0.7013
2592025-05-158771.26%0.7126
2602025-05-166669.70%0.6970
2612025-05-2312870.31%0.7031
2622025-05-273372.73%0.7273
2632025-05-285782.46%0.8246
2642025-05-2910374.76%0.7476
2652025-05-3013175.57%0.7557
2662025-06-027767.53%0.6753
2672025-06-034374.42%0.7442
2682025-06-045877.59%0.7759
2692025-06-0514275.35%0.7535
2702025-06-066470.31%0.7031
2712025-06-095485.19%0.8519
2722025-06-106183.61%0.8361
2732025-06-1112774.80%0.7480
2742025-06-127482.43%0.8243
2752025-06-1326070.38%0.7038
2762025-06-169470.21%0.7021
2772025-06-178085.00%0.8500
2782025-06-1817569.71%0.6971
2792025-06-209571.58%0.7158
2802025-06-2314875.68%0.7568
2812025-06-247566.67%0.6667
2822025-06-255086.00%0.8600
2832025-06-264862.50%0.6250
2842025-06-277169.01%0.6901
2852025-06-309557.89%0.5789
2862025-07-017771.43%0.7143
2872025-07-027663.16%0.6316
2882025-07-034372.09%0.7209
2892025-07-0711873.73%0.7373
2902025-07-0810966.97%0.6697
2912025-07-096962.32%0.6232
2922025-07-102875.00%0.7500
2932025-07-113974.36%0.7436
2942025-07-144877.08%0.7708
2952025-07-1518167.96%0.6796
2962025-07-1636958.27%0.5827
2972025-07-1711679.31%0.7931
2982025-07-188062.50%0.6250
2992025-07-217081.43%0.8143
3002025-07-226269.35%0.6935
3012025-07-238881.82%0.8182
3022025-07-247268.06%0.6806
3032025-07-253969.23%0.6923
3042025-07-283485.29%0.8529
3052025-07-295278.85%0.7885
3062025-07-3021670.37%0.7037
3072025-07-3112874.22%0.7422
3082025-08-0128967.47%0.6747
3092025-08-047078.57%0.7857
3102025-08-0511475.44%0.7544
3112025-08-066269.35%0.6935
3122025-08-079782.47%0.8247
3132025-08-088075.00%0.7500
3142025-08-117075.71%0.7571
3152025-08-126975.36%0.7536
3162025-08-138679.07%0.7907
3172025-08-145867.24%0.6724
3182025-08-156083.33%0.8333
3192025-08-182680.77%0.8077
3202025-08-195487.04%0.8704
3212025-08-2011684.48%0.8448
3222025-08-216482.81%0.8281
3232025-08-2213765.69%0.6569
3242025-08-252979.31%0.7931
3252025-08-263268.75%0.6875
3262025-08-275178.43%0.7843
3272025-08-284586.67%0.8667
3282025-08-295080.00%0.8000
3292025-09-0218077.78%0.7778
3302025-09-038582.35%0.8235
3312025-09-046280.65%0.8065
3322025-09-0529568.47%0.6847
3332025-09-0812668.25%0.6825
3342025-09-0912878.91%0.7891
3352025-09-109764.95%0.6495
3362025-09-116468.75%0.6875
3372025-09-123775.68%0.7568
3382025-09-155275.00%0.7500
3392025-09-169574.74%0.7474
3402025-09-1750559.80%0.5980
3412025-09-1814567.59%0.6759
3422025-09-199367.74%0.6774
3432025-09-226068.33%0.6833
3442025-09-2311062.73%0.6273
3452025-09-247070.00%0.7000
3462025-09-2513064.62%0.6462
3472025-09-267169.01%0.6901
3482025-09-297967.09%0.6709
3492025-09-3011468.42%0.6842
3502025-10-0112466.13%0.6613
3512025-10-0212368.29%0.6829
3522025-10-0310165.35%0.6535
3532025-10-0611870.34%0.7034
3542025-10-0717266.28%0.6628
3552025-10-087568.00%0.6800
3562025-10-0910159.41%0.5941
3572025-10-1071957.02%0.5702
3582025-10-1318960.85%0.6085
3592025-10-1451059.80%0.5980
3602025-10-1537656.65%0.5665
3612025-10-1669056.23%0.5623
3622025-10-1737859.52%0.5952
3632025-10-2013757.66%0.5766
3642025-10-2113167.94%0.6794
3652025-10-2227866.55%0.6655
3662025-10-2311956.30%0.5630
3672025-10-248360.24%0.6024
3682025-10-277360.27%0.6027
3692025-10-285967.80%0.6780
3702025-10-2939154.99%0.5499
3712025-10-3014266.20%0.6620
3722025-10-318367.47%0.6747
3732025-11-0312763.78%0.6378
3742025-11-0415358.82%0.5882
3752025-11-0518054.44%0.5444
3762025-11-0619960.80%0.6080
3772025-11-0727161.25%0.6125
3782025-11-1010859.26%0.5926
3792025-11-116972.46%0.7246
3802025-11-1211963.87%0.6387
3812025-11-1331464.97%0.6497
3822025-11-1431560.32%0.6032
3832025-11-1727271.32%0.7132
3842025-11-1838760.72%0.6072
3852025-11-1923767.09%0.6709
3862025-11-2078461.10%0.6110
3872025-11-2172259.83%0.5983
3882025-11-2417660.23%0.6023
3892025-11-2517661.36%0.6136
3902025-11-267761.04%0.6104
3912025-11-283170.97%0.7097
3922025-12-017170.42%0.7042
3932025-12-029670.83%0.7083
3942025-12-039773.20%0.7320
3952025-12-047176.06%0.7606
3962025-12-0511074.55%0.7455
3972025-12-088365.06%0.6506
3982025-12-0917258.72%0.5872
3992025-12-1027953.05%0.5305
4002025-12-1111570.43%0.7043
4012025-12-1225466.93%0.6693
4022025-12-1518065.56%0.6556
4032025-12-1618463.04%0.6304
4042025-12-1723263.36%0.6336
4052025-12-1818575.68%0.7568
4062025-12-199859.18%0.5918
4072025-12-225763.16%0.6316
4082025-12-233275.00%0.7500
4092025-12-243259.38%0.5938
4102025-12-261080.00%0.8000
4112025-12-293971.79%0.7179
4122025-12-302650.00%0.5000
4132025-12-314562.22%0.6222
4142026-01-0520663.59%0.6359
4152026-01-078968.54%0.6854
4162026-01-0813566.67%0.6667
4172026-01-0910760.75%0.6075
4182026-01-1215255.92%0.5592
4192026-01-1322457.59%0.5759
4202026-01-1441850.24%0.5024
4212026-01-1526254.20%0.5420
4222026-01-1611362.83%0.6283
4232026-01-2024563.27%0.6327
4242026-01-2129965.89%0.6589
4252026-01-2218661.83%0.6183
4262026-01-2316564.24%0.6424
4272026-01-2817363.01%0.6301
4282026-01-2928964.71%0.6471
4292026-01-3020170.65%0.7065
4302026-02-0211461.40%0.6140
4312026-02-0337261.02%0.6102
4322026-02-0446156.83%0.5683
4332026-02-0545664.25%0.6425
4342026-02-0911950.42%0.5042
4352026-02-1024759.11%0.5911
4362026-02-1128461.27%0.6127
4372026-02-1254862.41%0.6241
4382026-02-1342264.93%0.6493
4392026-02-1731660.44%0.6044
4402026-02-1814257.75%0.5775
4412026-02-1916861.31%0.6131
4422026-02-2032257.45%0.5745
4432026-02-2325457.87%0.5787
4442026-02-2428655.94%0.5594
4452026-02-2511560.00%0.6000
4462026-02-2626257.63%0.5763
4472026-02-2734155.13%0.5513
4482026-03-0233654.76%0.5476
4492026-03-0342356.50%0.5650
4502026-03-0421054.76%0.5476
4512026-03-0536456.59%0.5659
4522026-03-0646757.39%0.5739
4532026-03-0953360.41%0.6041
4542026-03-1048358.39%0.5839
4552026-03-1136660.66%0.6066
4562026-03-1241661.54%0.6154
4572026-03-1333866.86%0.6686
4582026-03-1627463.87%0.6387
4592026-03-1723860.92%0.6092
4602026-03-1833867.75%0.6775
4612026-03-1939561.27%0.6127
4622026-03-2039164.45%0.6445
4632026-03-2373257.65%0.5765
4642026-03-2448761.81%0.6181
4652026-03-2528960.55%0.6055
4662026-03-2623959.83%0.5983
4672026-03-2732662.27%0.6227
4682026-03-3034861.21%0.6121
4692026-03-3148155.09%0.5509
4702026-04-0132961.09%0.6109
4712026-04-0240558.27%0.5827
4722026-04-0616662.65%0.6265
4732026-04-0730064.00%0.6400
4742026-04-0820965.07%0.6507
4752026-04-099967.68%0.6768
4762026-04-107767.53%0.6753
4772026-04-138771.26%0.7126
4782026-04-1425056.80%0.5680
4792026-04-1528253.55%0.5355
4802026-04-1613359.40%0.5940
4812026-04-1712164.46%0.6446
4822026-04-209474.47%0.7447
4832026-04-2122968.12%0.6812
4842026-04-2210571.43%0.7143
4852026-04-2322457.59%0.5759
4862026-04-2413363.16%0.6316
4872026-04-277468.92%0.6892
4882026-04-289368.82%0.6882
4892026-04-2915063.33%0.6333
4902026-04-3010654.72%0.5472
4912026-05-0111067.27%0.6727
C · JPM+BAC+GS->C
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

Tap a point, or focus the plot and use arrow keys.

Exact values: every recorded day
C: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-2223360.94%0.6094
1212024-10-2320054.00%0.5400
1222024-10-2414559.31%0.5931
1232024-10-2516462.80%0.6280
1242024-10-2818054.44%0.5444
1252024-10-2917355.49%0.5549
1262024-10-3021058.10%0.5810
1272024-10-3127357.51%0.5751
1282024-11-0123559.57%0.5957
1292024-11-0428557.19%0.5719
1302024-11-0520949.76%0.4976
1312024-11-06128956.79%0.5679
1322024-11-0736756.95%0.5695
1332024-11-0819861.11%0.6111
1342024-11-1119963.32%0.6332
1352024-11-1210564.76%0.6476
1362024-11-1320955.02%0.5502
1372024-11-1421058.57%0.5857
1382024-11-1535759.38%0.5938
1392024-11-1816255.56%0.5556
1402024-11-1920062.00%0.6200
1412024-11-2023765.40%0.6540
1422024-11-2130159.14%0.5914
1432024-11-2222063.64%0.6364
1442024-11-2616866.07%0.6607
1452024-11-278659.30%0.5930
1462024-11-297657.89%0.5789
1472024-12-0218061.11%0.6111
1482024-12-0312961.24%0.6124
1492024-12-0414061.43%0.6143
1502024-12-058865.91%0.6591
1512024-12-068964.04%0.6404
1522024-12-0914761.22%0.6122
1532024-12-1019265.62%0.6562
1542024-12-1121161.61%0.6161
1552024-12-1215567.10%0.6710
1562024-12-1314065.00%0.6500
1572024-12-1612861.72%0.6172
1582024-12-1711756.41%0.5641
1592024-12-1873854.47%0.5447
1602024-12-1986453.24%0.5324
1612024-12-2067550.37%0.5037
1622024-12-2343654.36%0.5436
1632024-12-2413155.73%0.5573
1642024-12-2614158.87%0.5887
1652024-12-2744449.32%0.4932
1662024-12-3047752.20%0.5220
1672024-12-3136951.76%0.5176
1682025-01-0292053.59%0.5359
1692025-01-0348853.28%0.5328
1702025-01-0644160.09%0.6009
1712025-01-0753859.11%0.5911
1722025-01-0846854.06%0.5406
1732025-01-1083155.84%0.5584
1742025-01-1349957.52%0.5752
1752025-01-1442455.42%0.5542
1762025-01-1565757.08%0.5708
1772025-01-1660762.60%0.6260
1782025-01-1729262.67%0.6267
1792025-01-2125761.87%0.6187
1802025-01-2218953.44%0.5344
1812025-01-2319256.25%0.5625
1822025-01-2417060.59%0.6059
1832025-01-2740953.06%0.5306
1842025-01-2824751.42%0.5142
1852025-01-2951053.33%0.5333
1862025-01-3034450.00%0.5000
1872025-01-3147757.02%0.5702
1882025-02-03115952.89%0.5289
1892025-02-0424561.63%0.6163
1902025-02-0515156.95%0.5695
1912025-02-0612762.20%0.6220
1922025-02-0737855.82%0.5582
1932025-02-1019765.48%0.6548
1942025-02-1115555.48%0.5548
1952025-02-1216059.38%0.5938
1962025-02-1320657.28%0.5728
1972025-02-1411060.91%0.6091
1982025-02-1816956.21%0.5621
1992025-02-1916366.26%0.6626
2002025-02-2029164.60%0.6460
2012025-02-2141259.22%0.5922
2022025-02-2460454.47%0.5447
2032025-02-2566055.76%0.5576
2042025-02-2648257.68%0.5768
2052025-02-2775255.98%0.5598
2062025-02-2896055.94%0.5594
2072025-03-03139354.13%0.5413
2082025-03-04260151.17%0.5117
2092025-03-05205751.29%0.5129
2102025-03-06134556.73%0.5673
2112025-03-07138454.34%0.5434
2122025-03-10164052.50%0.5250
2132025-03-11277749.05%0.4905
2142025-03-12118050.25%0.5025
2152025-03-1397950.66%0.5066
2162025-03-1467450.89%0.5089
2172025-03-1750554.26%0.5426
2182025-03-1866150.23%0.5023
2192025-03-1981149.45%0.4945
2202025-03-2063450.32%0.5032
2212025-03-2159549.75%0.4975
2222025-03-2436660.66%0.6066
2232025-03-2521855.50%0.5550
2242025-03-2643253.24%0.5324
2252025-03-2762352.01%0.5201
2262025-03-2860855.43%0.5543
2272025-03-3174157.62%0.5762
2282025-04-0178857.87%0.5787
2292025-04-0261256.05%0.5605
2302025-04-03174254.99%0.5499
2312025-04-04376351.74%0.5174
2322025-04-07587254.10%0.5410
2332025-04-08456653.11%0.5311
2342025-04-09620451.55%0.5155
2352025-04-10479153.66%0.5366
2362025-04-11319155.72%0.5572
2372025-04-14160450.12%0.5012
2382025-04-15121355.23%0.5523
2392025-04-16102053.24%0.5324
2402025-04-17140450.57%0.5057
2412025-04-2152554.86%0.5486
2422025-04-2260457.45%0.5745
2432025-04-23187151.58%0.5158
2442025-04-2445156.54%0.5654
2452025-04-2554653.48%0.5348
2462025-04-2842854.67%0.5467
2472025-04-2935461.58%0.6158
2482025-04-3067953.46%0.5346
2492025-05-0145455.29%0.5529
2502025-05-0232261.18%0.6118
2512025-05-0525356.52%0.5652
2522025-05-0627056.30%0.5630
2532025-05-0789751.28%0.5128
2542025-05-0854854.01%0.5401
2552025-05-0924853.23%0.5323
2562025-05-1255851.43%0.5143
2572025-05-1328857.29%0.5729
2582025-05-1431759.94%0.5994
2592025-05-1521157.82%0.5782
2602025-05-1617159.65%0.5965
2612025-05-2344753.47%0.5347
2622025-05-2715660.90%0.6090
2632025-05-2816457.93%0.5793
2642025-05-2936157.89%0.5789
2652025-05-3049056.12%0.5612
2662025-06-0231054.52%0.5452
2672025-06-0314957.72%0.5772
2682025-06-0425260.32%0.6032
2692025-06-0547953.86%0.5386
2702025-06-0623058.70%0.5870
2712025-06-0918554.59%0.5459
2722025-06-1022561.33%0.6133
2732025-06-1136054.17%0.5417
2742025-06-1220353.20%0.5320
2752025-06-1364055.78%0.5578
2762025-06-1624257.02%0.5702
2772025-06-1726154.79%0.5479
2782025-06-1848654.12%0.5412
2792025-06-2028053.21%0.5321
2802025-06-2339257.40%0.5740
2812025-06-2424055.00%0.5500
2822025-06-2518056.67%0.5667
2832025-06-2619358.55%0.5855
2842025-06-2724759.51%0.5951
2852025-06-3022853.51%0.5351
2862025-07-0124051.25%0.5125
2872025-07-0217653.98%0.5398
2882025-07-0312958.14%0.5814
2892025-07-0729358.70%0.5870
2902025-07-0829956.19%0.5619
2912025-07-0920358.62%0.5862
2922025-07-1012762.20%0.6220
2932025-07-1112161.98%0.6198
2942025-07-1411765.81%0.6581
2952025-07-1571449.02%0.4902
2962025-07-16101752.70%0.5270
2972025-07-1731954.86%0.5486
2982025-07-1831753.94%0.5394
2992025-07-2120655.34%0.5534
3002025-07-2230648.69%0.4869
3012025-07-2322656.19%0.5619
3022025-07-2419756.35%0.5635
3032025-07-2515457.79%0.5779
3042025-07-2811664.66%0.6466
3052025-07-2917048.82%0.4882
3062025-07-3055051.45%0.5145
3072025-07-3147054.26%0.5426
3082025-08-0198551.78%0.5178
3092025-08-0419854.04%0.5404
3102025-08-0534455.81%0.5581
3112025-08-0617953.63%0.5363
3122025-08-0740755.04%0.5504
3132025-08-0822360.54%0.6054
3142025-08-1120054.50%0.5450
3152025-08-1221250.94%0.5094
3162025-08-1323959.41%0.5941
3172025-08-1414354.55%0.5455
3182025-08-1522657.08%0.5708
3192025-08-1814763.95%0.6395
3202025-08-1920754.59%0.5459
3212025-08-2047556.84%0.5684
3222025-08-2125357.71%0.5771
3232025-08-2246954.58%0.5458
3242025-08-2511957.14%0.5714
3252025-08-2614059.29%0.5929
3262025-08-2720056.00%0.5600
3272025-08-2814754.42%0.5442
3282025-08-2919756.85%0.5685
3292025-09-0250854.53%0.5453
3302025-09-0329957.19%0.5719
3312025-09-0423661.44%0.6144
3322025-09-05113852.55%0.5255
3332025-09-0839161.64%0.6164
3342025-09-0952155.28%0.5528
3352025-09-1038455.73%0.5573
3362025-09-1128055.71%0.5571
3372025-09-1216460.37%0.6037
3382025-09-1520955.02%0.5502
3392025-09-1632160.44%0.6044
3402025-09-17154952.55%0.5255
3412025-09-1833655.65%0.5565
3422025-09-1922853.95%0.5395
3432025-09-2219355.96%0.5596
3442025-09-2347353.28%0.5328
3452025-09-2421859.63%0.5963
3462025-09-2547055.53%0.5553
3472025-09-2628557.89%0.5789
3482025-09-2924456.15%0.5615
3492025-09-3048157.38%0.5738
3502025-10-0138355.35%0.5535
3512025-10-0229253.77%0.5377
3522025-10-0335153.56%0.5356
3532025-10-0636855.71%0.5571
3542025-10-0745056.00%0.5600
3552025-10-0822258.56%0.5856
3562025-10-0930859.09%0.5909
3572025-10-10164553.92%0.5392
3582025-10-1364254.67%0.5467
3592025-10-14116455.15%0.5515
3602025-10-15109357.64%0.5764
3612025-10-16173856.27%0.5627
3622025-10-17102259.20%0.5920
3632025-10-2031463.06%0.6306
3642025-10-2128763.76%0.6376
3652025-10-2268253.23%0.5323
3662025-10-2332862.20%0.6220
3672025-10-2425251.98%0.5198
3682025-10-2717564.00%0.6400
3692025-10-2822055.45%0.5545
3702025-10-2997056.19%0.5619
3712025-10-3053556.45%0.5645
3722025-10-3134958.45%0.5845
3732025-11-0337857.41%0.5741
3742025-11-0453158.76%0.5876
3752025-11-0548355.90%0.5590
3762025-11-0665162.06%0.6206
3772025-11-0790157.05%0.5705
3782025-11-1043159.86%0.5986
3792025-11-1125056.80%0.5680
3802025-11-1242657.51%0.5751
3812025-11-1377659.92%0.5992
3822025-11-1492559.46%0.5946
3832025-11-1775959.03%0.5903
3842025-11-18106158.53%0.5853
3852025-11-1966259.82%0.5982
3862025-11-20185157.21%0.5721
3872025-11-21168159.90%0.5990
3882025-11-2451262.50%0.6250
3892025-11-2551563.50%0.6350
3902025-11-2628158.72%0.5872
3912025-11-2811464.91%0.6491
3922025-12-0127157.20%0.5720
3932025-12-0234961.32%0.6132
3942025-12-0333960.18%0.6018
3952025-12-0436159.00%0.5900
3962025-12-0526262.21%0.6221
3972025-12-0826159.77%0.5977
3982025-12-0960157.74%0.5774
3992025-12-1077356.79%0.5679
4002025-12-1143659.40%0.5940
4012025-12-1268657.00%0.5700
4022025-12-1551459.14%0.5914
4032025-12-1658259.45%0.5945
4042025-12-1759254.22%0.5422
4052025-12-1859559.16%0.5916
4062025-12-1935359.21%0.5921
4072025-12-2224061.25%0.6125
4082025-12-2320862.02%0.6202
4092025-12-2415853.80%0.5380
4102025-12-2615556.77%0.5677
4112025-12-2919058.42%0.5842
4122025-12-3014757.14%0.5714
4132025-12-3117060.00%0.6000
4142026-01-0564259.35%0.5935
4152026-01-0751858.11%0.5811
4162026-01-0844158.05%0.5805
4172026-01-0929556.27%0.5627
4182026-01-1253459.36%0.5936
4192026-01-1372655.92%0.5592
4202026-01-14117554.04%0.5404
4212026-01-1566957.25%0.5725
4222026-01-1640257.71%0.5771
4232026-01-2077161.09%0.6109
4242026-01-2185555.20%0.5520
4252026-01-2246261.26%0.6126
4262026-01-2335461.30%0.6130
4272026-01-2854059.26%0.5926
4282026-01-2988660.05%0.6005
4292026-01-3080359.65%0.5965
4302026-02-0235858.66%0.5866
4312026-02-0393459.85%0.5985
4322026-02-04114359.58%0.5958
4332026-02-05126856.62%0.5662
4342026-02-0937661.17%0.6117
4352026-02-1071857.66%0.5766
4362026-02-1185861.66%0.6166
4372026-02-12156755.84%0.5584
4382026-02-13114458.13%0.5813
4392026-02-1799157.72%0.5772
4402026-02-1855459.39%0.5939
4412026-02-1970655.10%0.5510
4422026-02-2099256.65%0.5665
4432026-02-2392459.42%0.5942
4442026-02-2494757.02%0.5702
4452026-02-2546559.57%0.5957
4462026-02-2686756.29%0.5629
4472026-02-27132957.86%0.5786
4482026-03-02125157.55%0.5755
4492026-03-03175855.23%0.5523
4502026-03-0482157.86%0.5786
4512026-03-05140156.67%0.5667
4522026-03-06165253.27%0.5327
4532026-03-09179054.30%0.5430
4542026-03-10151755.37%0.5537
4552026-03-11115861.14%0.6114
4562026-03-12154957.00%0.5700
4572026-03-13109055.87%0.5587
4582026-03-1690256.54%0.5654
4592026-03-1757458.36%0.5836
4602026-03-1898753.60%0.5360
4612026-03-19129156.55%0.5655
4622026-03-20111558.30%0.5830
4632026-03-23161551.58%0.5158
4642026-03-24110555.84%0.5584
4652026-03-2593056.56%0.5656
4662026-03-2685155.35%0.5535
4672026-03-27109257.23%0.5723
4682026-03-30108754.09%0.5409
4692026-03-31149858.74%0.5874
4702026-04-0168660.35%0.6035
4712026-04-0275957.18%0.5718
4722026-04-0643961.96%0.6196
4732026-04-0778656.74%0.5674
4742026-04-0875057.73%0.5773
4752026-04-0945561.54%0.6154
4762026-04-1034955.59%0.5559
4772026-04-1341558.31%0.5831
4782026-04-1457859.00%0.5900
4792026-04-1581558.28%0.5828
4802026-04-1651759.19%0.5919
4812026-04-1751363.74%0.6374
4822026-04-2054950.82%0.5082
4832026-04-21108250.65%0.5065
4842026-04-2247051.06%0.5106
4852026-04-2399149.24%0.4924
4862026-04-2450650.99%0.5099
4872026-04-2734254.39%0.5439
4882026-04-2856849.30%0.4930
4892026-04-2972550.21%0.5021
4902026-04-3064148.05%0.4805
4912026-05-0164353.19%0.5319
DB · C+XLF+MS+PNC+JPM->DB
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

Tap a point, or focus the plot and use arrow keys.

Exact values: every recorded day
DB: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-220No predictions0.0000
1212024-10-23580.00%0.8000
1222024-10-242100.00%1.0000
1232024-10-2510.00%0.0000
1242024-10-281100.00%1.0000
1252024-10-29475.00%0.7500
1262024-10-302100.00%1.0000
1272024-10-31875.00%0.7500
1282024-11-011100.00%1.0000
1292024-11-043100.00%1.0000
1302024-11-054100.00%1.0000
1312024-11-061770.59%0.7059
1322024-11-073100.00%1.0000
1332024-11-081100.00%1.0000
1342024-11-115100.00%1.0000
1352024-11-12366.67%0.6667
1362024-11-134100.00%1.0000
1372024-11-147100.00%1.0000
1382024-11-150No predictions0.0000
1392024-11-180No predictions0.0000
1402024-11-191100.00%1.0000
1412024-11-20683.33%0.8333
1422024-11-214100.00%1.0000
1432024-11-223100.00%1.0000
1442024-11-260No predictions0.0000
1452024-11-270No predictions0.0000
1462024-11-291100.00%1.0000
1472024-12-024100.00%1.0000
1482024-12-030No predictions0.0000
1492024-12-040No predictions0.0000
1502024-12-051100.00%1.0000
1512024-12-06366.67%0.6667
1522024-12-090No predictions0.0000
1532024-12-103100.00%1.0000
1542024-12-112100.00%1.0000
1552024-12-12580.00%0.8000
1562024-12-131100.00%1.0000
1572024-12-164100.00%1.0000
1582024-12-170No predictions0.0000
1592024-12-182479.17%0.7917
1602024-12-198100.00%1.0000
1612024-12-20887.50%0.8750
1622024-12-235100.00%1.0000
1632024-12-241100.00%1.0000
1642024-12-260No predictions0.0000
1652024-12-273100.00%1.0000
1662024-12-302100.00%1.0000
1672024-12-316100.00%1.0000
1682025-01-0211100.00%1.0000
1692025-01-034100.00%1.0000
1702025-01-06475.00%0.7500
1712025-01-071181.82%0.8182
1722025-01-08887.50%0.8750
1732025-01-101485.71%0.8571
1742025-01-136100.00%1.0000
1752025-01-14560.00%0.6000
1762025-01-152100.00%1.0000
1772025-01-167100.00%1.0000
1782025-01-17250.00%0.5000
1792025-01-21366.67%0.6667
1802025-01-222100.00%1.0000
1812025-01-235100.00%1.0000
1822025-01-2410.00%0.0000
1832025-01-270No predictions0.0000
1842025-01-282100.00%1.0000
1852025-01-291090.00%0.9000
1862025-01-30988.89%0.8889
1872025-01-311794.12%0.9412
1882025-02-033971.79%0.7179
1892025-02-04560.00%0.6000
1902025-02-05366.67%0.6667
1912025-02-063100.00%1.0000
1922025-02-072176.19%0.7619
1932025-02-100No predictions0.0000
1942025-02-11580.00%0.8000
1952025-02-124100.00%1.0000
1962025-02-137100.00%1.0000
1972025-02-14250.00%0.5000
1982025-02-181100.00%1.0000
1992025-02-191100.00%1.0000
2002025-02-207100.00%1.0000
2012025-02-2111100.00%1.0000
2022025-02-241384.62%0.8462
2032025-02-251883.33%0.8333
2042025-02-261266.67%0.6667
2052025-02-271668.75%0.6875
2062025-02-282166.67%0.6667
2072025-03-033775.68%0.7568
2082025-03-046473.44%0.7344
2092025-03-0510073.00%0.7300
2102025-03-066481.25%0.8125
2112025-03-079673.96%0.7396
2122025-03-107281.94%0.8194
2132025-03-1112973.64%0.7364
2142025-03-123174.19%0.7419
2152025-03-133479.41%0.7941
2162025-03-142788.89%0.8889
2172025-03-172070.00%0.7000
2182025-03-183582.86%0.8286
2192025-03-193187.10%0.8710
2202025-03-201883.33%0.8333
2212025-03-211668.75%0.6875
2222025-03-241172.73%0.7273
2232025-03-251080.00%0.8000
2242025-03-261070.00%0.7000
2252025-03-271675.00%0.7500
2262025-03-282176.19%0.7619
2272025-03-312592.00%0.9200
2282025-04-014678.26%0.7826
2292025-04-022176.19%0.7619
2302025-04-039471.28%0.7128
2312025-04-0422959.39%0.5939
2322025-04-0743667.43%0.6743
2332025-04-0825667.19%0.6719
2342025-04-0944964.59%0.6459
2352025-04-1029154.64%0.5464
2362025-04-1120055.50%0.5550
2372025-04-147358.90%0.5890
2382025-04-152673.08%0.7308
2392025-04-165673.21%0.7321
2402025-04-176262.90%0.6290
2412025-04-212673.08%0.7308
2422025-04-224877.08%0.7708
2432025-04-2312063.33%0.6333
2442025-04-241978.95%0.7895
2452025-04-252568.00%0.6800
2462025-04-281457.14%0.5714
2472025-04-292968.97%0.6897
2482025-04-304461.36%0.6136
2492025-05-012975.86%0.7586
2502025-05-021457.14%0.5714
2512025-05-051471.43%0.7143
2522025-05-062286.36%0.8636
2532025-05-075675.00%0.7500
2542025-05-082665.38%0.6538
2552025-05-091675.00%0.7500
2562025-05-122180.95%0.8095
2572025-05-13757.14%0.5714
2582025-05-141492.86%0.9286
2592025-05-151872.22%0.7222
2602025-05-161080.00%0.8000
2612025-05-232875.00%0.7500
2622025-05-276100.00%1.0000
2632025-05-281172.73%0.7273
2642025-05-292095.00%0.9500
2652025-05-302487.50%0.8750
2662025-06-021546.67%0.4667
2672025-06-031283.33%0.8333
2682025-06-04875.00%0.7500
2692025-06-052584.00%0.8400
2702025-06-061485.71%0.8571
2712025-06-09250.00%0.5000
2722025-06-101080.00%0.8000
2732025-06-113177.42%0.7742
2742025-06-121163.64%0.6364
2752025-06-133076.67%0.7667
2762025-06-16988.89%0.8889
2772025-06-1713100.00%1.0000
2782025-06-182277.27%0.7727
2792025-06-201291.67%0.9167
2802025-06-232572.00%0.7200
2812025-06-241181.82%0.8182
2822025-06-251080.00%0.8000
2832025-06-26683.33%0.8333
2842025-06-271172.73%0.7273
2852025-06-301560.00%0.6000
2862025-07-011392.31%0.9231
2872025-07-02955.56%0.5556
2882025-07-032100.00%1.0000
2892025-07-071384.62%0.8462
2902025-07-081984.21%0.8421
2912025-07-09771.43%0.7143
2922025-07-104100.00%1.0000
2932025-07-11250.00%0.5000
2942025-07-147100.00%1.0000
2952025-07-151283.33%0.8333
2962025-07-162466.67%0.6667
2972025-07-174100.00%1.0000
2982025-07-184100.00%1.0000
2992025-07-215100.00%1.0000
3002025-07-221181.82%0.8182
3012025-07-231478.57%0.7857
3022025-07-24862.50%0.6250
3032025-07-25862.50%0.6250
3042025-07-28580.00%0.8000
3052025-07-29988.89%0.8889
3062025-07-303571.43%0.7143
3072025-07-312176.19%0.7619
3082025-08-015972.88%0.7288
3092025-08-04650.00%0.5000
3102025-08-051275.00%0.7500
3112025-08-061681.25%0.8125
3122025-08-071090.00%0.9000
3132025-08-08785.71%0.8571
3142025-08-111369.23%0.6923
3152025-08-121070.00%0.7000
3162025-08-131190.91%0.9091
3172025-08-144100.00%1.0000
3182025-08-15580.00%0.8000
3192025-08-18450.00%0.5000
3202025-08-19862.50%0.6250
3212025-08-201877.78%0.7778
3222025-08-21757.14%0.5714
3232025-08-222968.97%0.6897
3242025-08-25580.00%0.8000
3252025-08-261080.00%0.8000
3262025-08-27875.00%0.7500
3272025-08-285100.00%1.0000
3282025-08-29862.50%0.6250
3292025-09-022875.00%0.7500
3302025-09-031172.73%0.7273
3312025-09-04650.00%0.5000
3322025-09-054772.34%0.7234
3332025-09-081782.35%0.8235
3342025-09-092560.00%0.6000
3352025-09-101181.82%0.8182
3362025-09-111127.27%0.2727
3372025-09-12475.00%0.7500
3382025-09-15875.00%0.7500
3392025-09-161957.89%0.5789
3402025-09-179376.34%0.7634
3412025-09-182676.92%0.7692
3422025-09-191376.92%0.7692
3432025-09-222100.00%1.0000
3442025-09-23887.50%0.8750
3452025-09-24580.00%0.8000
3462025-09-251687.50%0.8750
3472025-09-261172.73%0.7273
3482025-09-29333.33%0.3333
3492025-09-301361.54%0.6154
3502025-10-01580.00%0.8000
3512025-10-02887.50%0.8750
3522025-10-031080.00%0.8000
3532025-10-06977.78%0.7778
3542025-10-071283.33%0.8333
3552025-10-08475.00%0.7500
3562025-10-091283.33%0.8333
3572025-10-1014065.71%0.6571
3582025-10-131376.92%0.7692
3592025-10-145862.07%0.6207
3602025-10-151883.33%0.8333
3612025-10-167573.33%0.7333
3622025-10-172975.86%0.7586
3632025-10-201080.00%0.8000
3642025-10-211258.33%0.5833
3652025-10-224165.85%0.6585
3662025-10-23966.67%0.6667
3672025-10-24862.50%0.6250
3682025-10-27475.00%0.7500
3692025-10-281172.73%0.7273
3702025-10-296371.43%0.7143
3712025-10-302075.00%0.7500
3722025-10-311181.82%0.8182
3732025-11-03977.78%0.7778
3742025-11-041369.23%0.6923
3752025-11-051457.14%0.5714
3762025-11-061675.00%0.7500
3772025-11-073568.57%0.6857
3782025-11-105100.00%1.0000
3792025-11-11450.00%0.5000
3802025-11-12875.00%0.7500
3812025-11-134472.73%0.7273
3822025-11-145770.18%0.7018
3832025-11-173669.44%0.6944
3842025-11-185962.71%0.6271
3852025-11-192475.00%0.7500
3862025-11-2013875.36%0.7536
3872025-11-218764.37%0.6437
3882025-11-242568.00%0.6800
3892025-11-252774.07%0.7407
3902025-11-261020.00%0.2000
3912025-11-284100.00%1.0000
3922025-12-011080.00%0.8000
3932025-12-02862.50%0.6250
3942025-12-03633.33%0.3333
3952025-12-045100.00%1.0000
3962025-12-05785.71%0.8571
3972025-12-082100.00%1.0000
3982025-12-091888.89%0.8889
3992025-12-104367.44%0.6744
4002025-12-111241.67%0.4167
4012025-12-122055.00%0.5500
4022025-12-15887.50%0.8750
4032025-12-162369.57%0.6957
4042025-12-172060.00%0.6000
4052025-12-182190.48%0.9048
4062025-12-19887.50%0.8750
4072025-12-224100.00%1.0000
4082025-12-231100.00%1.0000
4092025-12-24450.00%0.5000
4102025-12-261100.00%1.0000
4112025-12-29580.00%0.8000
4122025-12-300No predictions0.0000
4132025-12-312100.00%1.0000
4142026-01-051283.33%0.8333
4152026-01-07650.00%0.5000
4162026-01-08977.78%0.7778
4172026-01-091070.00%0.7000
4182026-01-12955.56%0.5556
4192026-01-131681.25%0.8125
4202026-01-142572.00%0.7200
4212026-01-1511100.00%1.0000
4222026-01-16862.50%0.6250
4232026-01-201866.67%0.6667
4242026-01-214461.36%0.6136
4252026-01-221471.43%0.7143
4262026-01-231681.25%0.8125
4272026-01-284656.52%0.5652
4282026-01-294362.79%0.6279
4292026-01-305273.08%0.7308
4302026-02-021040.00%0.4000
4312026-02-038264.63%0.6463
4322026-02-045561.82%0.6182
4332026-02-058459.52%0.5952
4342026-02-091747.06%0.4706
4352026-02-102871.43%0.7143
4362026-02-113762.16%0.6216
4372026-02-1212958.14%0.5814
4382026-02-1314552.41%0.5241
4392026-02-177653.95%0.5395
4402026-02-183974.36%0.7436
4412026-02-193860.53%0.6053
4422026-02-209151.65%0.5165
4432026-02-233265.62%0.6562
4442026-02-244669.57%0.6957
4452026-02-251478.57%0.7857
4462026-02-263357.58%0.5758
4472026-02-275466.67%0.6667
4482026-03-029957.58%0.5758
4492026-03-0315962.89%0.6289
4502026-03-045558.18%0.5818
4512026-03-058051.25%0.5125
4522026-03-0616857.74%0.5774
4532026-03-0918057.22%0.5722
4542026-03-1018258.24%0.5824
4552026-03-1110157.43%0.5743
4562026-03-1217769.49%0.6949
4572026-03-138965.17%0.6517
4582026-03-164180.49%0.8049
4592026-03-174175.61%0.7561
4602026-03-187963.29%0.6329
4612026-03-1913361.65%0.6165
4622026-03-2011971.43%0.7143
4632026-03-2317344.51%0.4451
4642026-03-2416355.83%0.5583
4652026-03-2514261.97%0.6197
4662026-03-265955.93%0.5593
4672026-03-2710957.80%0.5780
4682026-03-306460.94%0.6094
4692026-03-3114652.74%0.5274
4702026-04-016758.21%0.5821
4712026-04-029564.21%0.6421
4722026-04-064362.79%0.6279
4732026-04-079968.69%0.6869
4742026-04-085160.78%0.6078
4752026-04-093053.33%0.5333
4762026-04-1014100.00%1.0000
4772026-04-133464.71%0.6471
4782026-04-143969.23%0.6923
4792026-04-15825.00%0.2500
4802026-04-161752.94%0.5294
4812026-04-173953.85%0.5385
4822026-04-202948.28%0.4828
4832026-04-216459.38%0.5938
4842026-04-222661.54%0.6154
4852026-04-235176.47%0.7647
4862026-04-242673.08%0.7308
4872026-04-271050.00%0.5000
4882026-04-282552.00%0.5200
4892026-04-291361.54%0.6154
4902026-04-301850.00%0.5000
4912026-05-012871.43%0.7143
GS · BAC+XLF+PNC+USB+JPM->GS
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

Tap a point, or focus the plot and use arrow keys.

Exact values: every recorded day
GS: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-222867.86%0.6786
1212024-10-231984.21%0.8421
1222024-10-242161.90%0.6190
1232024-10-254562.22%0.6222
1242024-10-282157.14%0.5714
1252024-10-291973.68%0.7368
1262024-10-301866.67%0.6667
1272024-10-315675.00%0.7500
1282024-11-013577.14%0.7714
1292024-11-043278.12%0.7812
1302024-11-052470.83%0.7083
1312024-11-0613166.41%0.6641
1322024-11-074369.77%0.6977
1332024-11-082580.00%0.8000
1342024-11-113666.67%0.6667
1352024-11-122166.67%0.6667
1362024-11-132176.19%0.7619
1372024-11-143369.70%0.6970
1382024-11-153860.53%0.6053
1392024-11-181681.25%0.8125
1402024-11-192369.57%0.6957
1412024-11-203878.95%0.7895
1422024-11-214060.00%0.6000
1432024-11-222972.41%0.7241
1442024-11-261566.67%0.6667
1452024-11-272060.00%0.6000
1462024-11-291266.67%0.6667
1472024-12-0219100.00%1.0000
1482024-12-032382.61%0.8261
1492024-12-042864.29%0.6429
1502024-12-052673.08%0.7308
1512024-12-062483.33%0.8333
1522024-12-092572.00%0.7200
1532024-12-102070.00%0.7000
1542024-12-112180.95%0.8095
1552024-12-122070.00%0.7000
1562024-12-132885.71%0.8571
1572024-12-162176.19%0.7619
1582024-12-173076.67%0.7667
1592024-12-1821070.00%0.7000
1602024-12-1913180.15%0.8015
1612024-12-208585.88%0.8588
1622024-12-235683.93%0.8393
1632024-12-245100.00%1.0000
1642024-12-261464.29%0.6429
1652024-12-277678.95%0.7895
1662024-12-304479.55%0.7955
1672024-12-317774.03%0.7403
1682025-01-0212080.83%0.8083
1692025-01-034266.67%0.6667
1702025-01-064072.50%0.7250
1712025-01-077078.57%0.7857
1722025-01-086776.12%0.7612
1732025-01-107578.67%0.7867
1742025-01-137580.00%0.8000
1752025-01-143580.00%0.8000
1762025-01-154075.00%0.7500
1772025-01-163772.97%0.7297
1782025-01-173467.65%0.6765
1792025-01-213663.89%0.6389
1802025-01-222653.85%0.5385
1812025-01-232268.18%0.6818
1822025-01-241770.59%0.7059
1832025-01-276070.00%0.7000
1842025-01-282360.87%0.6087
1852025-01-297663.16%0.6316
1862025-01-307072.86%0.7286
1872025-01-318673.26%0.7326
1882025-02-0314971.81%0.7181
1892025-02-043170.97%0.7097
1902025-02-051566.67%0.6667
1912025-02-061973.68%0.7368
1922025-02-076080.00%0.8000
1932025-02-103281.25%0.8125
1942025-02-111172.73%0.7273
1952025-02-123083.33%0.8333
1962025-02-133470.59%0.7059
1972025-02-141050.00%0.5000
1982025-02-181580.00%0.8000
1992025-02-191866.67%0.6667
2002025-02-205879.31%0.7931
2012025-02-215585.45%0.8545
2022025-02-246773.13%0.7313
2032025-02-2511575.65%0.7565
2042025-02-266377.78%0.7778
2052025-02-2710476.92%0.7692
2062025-02-2811564.35%0.6435
2072025-03-0318982.54%0.8254
2082025-03-0428175.80%0.7580
2092025-03-0524363.37%0.6337
2102025-03-0620672.82%0.7282
2112025-03-0720075.50%0.7550
2122025-03-1020074.00%0.7400
2132025-03-1128871.53%0.7153
2142025-03-1213368.42%0.6842
2152025-03-1312162.81%0.6281
2162025-03-148259.76%0.5976
2172025-03-179372.04%0.7204
2182025-03-1812867.97%0.6797
2192025-03-1914861.49%0.6149
2202025-03-207181.69%0.8169
2212025-03-218766.67%0.6667
2222025-03-245667.86%0.6786
2232025-03-254180.49%0.8049
2242025-03-266277.42%0.7742
2252025-03-277977.22%0.7722
2262025-03-288581.18%0.8118
2272025-03-3116268.52%0.6852
2282025-04-0115176.82%0.7682
2292025-04-028676.74%0.7674
2302025-04-0323975.31%0.7531
2312025-04-0461866.34%0.6634
2322025-04-0784170.63%0.7063
2332025-04-0868770.74%0.7074
2342025-04-0997569.03%0.6903
2352025-04-1067373.40%0.7340
2362025-04-1140273.63%0.7363
2372025-04-1417375.14%0.7514
2382025-04-1514271.83%0.7183
2392025-04-1624770.85%0.7085
2402025-04-1722869.74%0.6974
2412025-04-219268.48%0.6848
2422025-04-2213574.07%0.7407
2432025-04-2331863.52%0.6352
2442025-04-248774.71%0.7471
2452025-04-258174.07%0.7407
2462025-04-286369.84%0.6984
2472025-04-296377.78%0.7778
2482025-04-3013069.23%0.6923
2492025-05-018877.27%0.7727
2502025-05-026968.12%0.6812
2512025-05-057472.97%0.7297
2522025-05-068770.11%0.7011
2532025-05-0724469.26%0.6926
2542025-05-0811479.82%0.7982
2552025-05-095377.36%0.7736
2562025-05-129074.44%0.7444
2572025-05-134772.34%0.7234
2582025-05-146773.13%0.7313
2592025-05-156264.52%0.6452
2602025-05-164864.58%0.6458
2612025-05-2310365.05%0.6505
2622025-05-272661.54%0.6154
2632025-05-284985.71%0.8571
2642025-05-2910480.77%0.8077
2652025-05-3010878.70%0.7870
2662025-06-024770.21%0.7021
2672025-06-033482.35%0.8235
2682025-06-043775.68%0.7568
2692025-06-0513271.97%0.7197
2702025-06-065959.32%0.5932
2712025-06-092850.00%0.5000
2722025-06-104580.00%0.8000
2732025-06-118665.12%0.6512
2742025-06-125678.57%0.7857
2752025-06-1311270.54%0.7054
2762025-06-164568.89%0.6889
2772025-06-175276.92%0.7692
2782025-06-187967.09%0.6709
2792025-06-206063.33%0.6333
2802025-06-237372.60%0.7260
2812025-06-244379.07%0.7907
2822025-06-252864.29%0.6429
2832025-06-263070.00%0.7000
2842025-06-275278.85%0.7885
2852025-06-304757.45%0.5745
2862025-07-016773.13%0.7313
2872025-07-021963.16%0.6316
2882025-07-031877.78%0.7778
2892025-07-077566.67%0.6667
2902025-07-085470.37%0.7037
2912025-07-093378.79%0.7879
2922025-07-101662.50%0.6250
2932025-07-111580.00%0.8000
2942025-07-142657.69%0.5769
2952025-07-156575.38%0.7538
2962025-07-165770.18%0.7018
2972025-07-174566.67%0.6667
2982025-07-185369.81%0.6981
2992025-07-213863.16%0.6316
3002025-07-224070.00%0.7000
3012025-07-234463.64%0.6364
3022025-07-243253.12%0.5312
3032025-07-252450.00%0.5000
3042025-07-282075.00%0.7500
3052025-07-291758.82%0.5882
3062025-07-308662.79%0.6279
3072025-07-316464.06%0.6406
3082025-08-0115860.76%0.6076
3092025-08-044148.78%0.4878
3102025-08-052975.86%0.7586
3112025-08-063568.57%0.6857
3122025-08-074870.83%0.7083
3132025-08-082592.00%0.9200
3142025-08-114055.00%0.5500
3152025-08-124259.52%0.5952
3162025-08-132268.18%0.6818
3172025-08-142171.43%0.7143
3182025-08-152885.71%0.8571
3192025-08-181275.00%0.7500
3202025-08-192070.00%0.7000
3212025-08-203953.85%0.5385
3222025-08-213177.42%0.7742
3232025-08-226066.67%0.6667
3242025-08-251776.47%0.7647
3252025-08-261866.67%0.6667
3262025-08-272673.08%0.7308
3272025-08-281968.42%0.6842
3282025-08-292871.43%0.7143
3292025-09-024875.00%0.7500
3302025-09-032572.00%0.7200
3312025-09-041376.92%0.7692
3322025-09-0510470.19%0.7019
3332025-09-084671.74%0.7174
3342025-09-096270.97%0.7097
3352025-09-103666.67%0.6667
3362025-09-112070.00%0.7000
3372025-09-122650.00%0.5000
3382025-09-151973.68%0.7368
3392025-09-162871.43%0.7143
3402025-09-1721464.02%0.6402
3412025-09-183969.23%0.6923
3422025-09-191957.89%0.5789
3432025-09-221668.75%0.6875
3442025-09-231973.68%0.7368
3452025-09-241963.16%0.6316
3462025-09-254182.93%0.8293
3472025-09-263366.67%0.6667
3482025-09-292157.14%0.5714
3492025-09-305166.67%0.6667
3502025-10-011566.67%0.6667
3512025-10-021560.00%0.6000
3522025-10-032766.67%0.6667
3532025-10-063174.19%0.7419
3542025-10-073180.65%0.8065
3552025-10-081376.92%0.7692
3562025-10-094070.00%0.7000
3572025-10-1021768.20%0.6820
3582025-10-133971.79%0.7179
3592025-10-149471.28%0.7128
3602025-10-153969.23%0.6923
3612025-10-1613467.91%0.6791
3622025-10-176753.73%0.5373
3632025-10-202479.17%0.7917
3642025-10-211656.25%0.5625
3652025-10-227975.95%0.7595
3662025-10-232962.07%0.6207
3672025-10-242161.90%0.6190
3682025-10-271586.67%0.8667
3692025-10-281883.33%0.8333
3702025-10-2911658.62%0.5862
3712025-10-303658.33%0.5833
3722025-10-312564.00%0.6400
3732025-11-032665.38%0.6538
3742025-11-042680.77%0.8077
3752025-11-052470.83%0.7083
3762025-11-063969.23%0.6923
3772025-11-077071.43%0.7143
3782025-11-103548.57%0.4857
3792025-11-112075.00%0.7500
3802025-11-121675.00%0.7500
3812025-11-137275.00%0.7500
3822025-11-1414071.43%0.7143
3832025-11-178070.00%0.7000
3842025-11-1812371.54%0.7154
3852025-11-197964.56%0.6456
3862025-11-2027270.22%0.7022
3872025-11-2118269.78%0.6978
3882025-11-247266.67%0.6667
3892025-11-256867.65%0.6765
3902025-11-263764.86%0.6486
3912025-11-281154.55%0.5455
3922025-12-013073.33%0.7333
3932025-12-021872.22%0.7222
3942025-12-032360.87%0.6087
3952025-12-042075.00%0.7500
3962025-12-052744.44%0.4444
3972025-12-081963.16%0.6316
3982025-12-095168.63%0.6863
3992025-12-109275.00%0.7500
4002025-12-113360.61%0.6061
4012025-12-124264.29%0.6429
4022025-12-153672.22%0.7222
4032025-12-165166.67%0.6667
4042025-12-175358.49%0.5849
4052025-12-184468.18%0.6818
4062025-12-192268.18%0.6818
4072025-12-22683.33%0.8333
4082025-12-231070.00%0.7000
4092025-12-24966.67%0.6667
4102025-12-26425.00%0.2500
4112025-12-291070.00%0.7000
4122025-12-30771.43%0.7143
4132025-12-31955.56%0.5556
4142026-01-055375.47%0.7547
4152026-01-073164.52%0.6452
4162026-01-082766.67%0.6667
4172026-01-092951.72%0.5172
4182026-01-122466.67%0.6667
4192026-01-135966.10%0.6610
4202026-01-145671.43%0.7143
4212026-01-154072.50%0.7250
4222026-01-163348.48%0.4848
4232026-01-208267.07%0.6707
4242026-01-2111568.70%0.6870
4252026-01-226866.18%0.6618
4262026-01-232470.83%0.7083
4272026-01-287173.24%0.7324
4282026-01-297379.45%0.7945
4292026-01-307879.49%0.7949
4302026-02-022180.95%0.8095
4312026-02-039572.63%0.7263
4322026-02-0411370.80%0.7080
4332026-02-0514665.07%0.6507
4342026-02-093470.59%0.7059
4352026-02-103473.53%0.7353
4362026-02-116873.53%0.7353
4372026-02-1215172.19%0.7219
4382026-02-1320668.45%0.6845
4392026-02-1714667.81%0.6781
4402026-02-187659.21%0.5921
4412026-02-196973.91%0.7391
4422026-02-2014470.83%0.7083
4432026-02-239465.96%0.6596
4442026-02-2410571.43%0.7143
4452026-02-255172.55%0.7255
4462026-02-268569.41%0.6941
4472026-02-2711969.75%0.6975
4482026-03-0217170.76%0.7076
4492026-03-0328966.78%0.6678
4502026-03-0413470.15%0.7015
4512026-03-0513468.66%0.6866
4522026-03-0628271.28%0.7128
4532026-03-0924768.02%0.6802
4542026-03-1019473.20%0.7320
4552026-03-1112972.87%0.7287
4562026-03-1222773.13%0.7313
4572026-03-1312772.44%0.7244
4582026-03-167675.00%0.7500
4592026-03-174862.50%0.6250
4602026-03-1810260.78%0.6078
4612026-03-1917777.40%0.7740
4622026-03-2015174.17%0.7417
4632026-03-2320768.60%0.6860
4642026-03-2418573.51%0.7351
4652026-03-2516677.71%0.7771
4662026-03-2611770.09%0.7009
4672026-03-2716670.48%0.7048
4682026-03-3012372.36%0.7236
4692026-03-3121363.38%0.6338
4702026-04-0112871.88%0.7188
4712026-04-0215566.45%0.6645
4722026-04-065680.36%0.8036
4732026-04-0718073.33%0.7333
4742026-04-0810065.00%0.6500
4752026-04-094665.22%0.6522
4762026-04-102462.50%0.6250
4772026-04-135862.07%0.6207
4782026-04-146761.19%0.6119
4792026-04-154261.90%0.6190
4802026-04-164963.27%0.6327
4812026-04-176266.13%0.6613
4822026-04-205267.31%0.6731
4832026-04-2111974.79%0.7479
4842026-04-225261.54%0.6154
4852026-04-239058.89%0.5889
4862026-04-247663.16%0.6316
4872026-04-273666.67%0.6667
4882026-04-286365.08%0.6508
4892026-04-293167.74%0.6774
4902026-04-304264.29%0.6429
4912026-05-016369.84%0.6984
JPM · XLF+BAC+DB+C+WFC->JPM
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

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Exact values: every recorded day
JPM: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-22683.33%0.8333
1212024-10-231250.00%0.5000
1222024-10-24650.00%0.5000
1232024-10-251275.00%0.7500
1242024-10-281080.00%0.8000
1252024-10-29850.00%0.5000
1262024-10-30887.50%0.8750
1272024-10-311181.82%0.8182
1282024-11-011163.64%0.6364
1292024-11-04955.56%0.5556
1302024-11-05825.00%0.2500
1312024-11-0610756.07%0.5607
1322024-11-072661.54%0.6154
1332024-11-08966.67%0.6667
1342024-11-111844.44%0.4444
1352024-11-12771.43%0.7143
1362024-11-13955.56%0.5556
1372024-11-142157.14%0.5714
1382024-11-151376.92%0.7692
1392024-11-18666.67%0.6667
1402024-11-191266.67%0.6667
1412024-11-201154.55%0.5455
1422024-11-212070.00%0.7000
1432024-11-221070.00%0.7000
1442024-11-26540.00%0.4000
1452024-11-27250.00%0.5000
1462024-11-292100.00%1.0000
1472024-12-021471.43%0.7143
1482024-12-03475.00%0.7500
1492024-12-04580.00%0.8000
1502024-12-052100.00%1.0000
1512024-12-06683.33%0.8333
1522024-12-09450.00%0.5000
1532024-12-105100.00%1.0000
1542024-12-11366.67%0.6667
1552024-12-121080.00%0.8000
1562024-12-131100.00%1.0000
1572024-12-16333.33%0.3333
1582024-12-17757.14%0.5714
1592024-12-188556.47%0.5647
1602024-12-194365.12%0.6512
1612024-12-204772.34%0.7234
1622024-12-232070.00%0.7000
1632024-12-24785.71%0.8571
1642024-12-264100.00%1.0000
1652024-12-272774.07%0.7407
1662024-12-303568.57%0.6857
1672024-12-312263.64%0.6364
1682025-01-027467.57%0.6757
1692025-01-032962.07%0.6207
1702025-01-061883.33%0.8333
1712025-01-075675.00%0.7500
1722025-01-082965.52%0.6552
1732025-01-106969.57%0.6957
1742025-01-132762.96%0.6296
1752025-01-142065.00%0.6500
1762025-01-152360.87%0.6087
1772025-01-162572.00%0.7200
1782025-01-171090.00%0.9000
1792025-01-214100.00%1.0000
1802025-01-22955.56%0.5556
1812025-01-23666.67%0.6667
1822025-01-24683.33%0.8333
1832025-01-272871.43%0.7143
1842025-01-28988.89%0.8889
1852025-01-294673.91%0.7391
1862025-01-303070.00%0.7000
1872025-01-314465.91%0.6591
1882025-02-0314367.83%0.6783
1892025-02-041764.71%0.6471
1902025-02-051266.67%0.6667
1912025-02-061190.91%0.9091
1922025-02-076569.23%0.6923
1932025-02-10666.67%0.6667
1942025-02-11771.43%0.7143
1952025-02-122171.43%0.7143
1962025-02-132466.67%0.6667
1972025-02-14540.00%0.4000
1982025-02-181145.45%0.4545
1992025-02-191060.00%0.6000
2002025-02-202673.08%0.7308
2012025-02-212766.67%0.6667
2022025-02-247064.29%0.6429
2032025-02-257474.32%0.7432
2042025-02-266350.79%0.5079
2052025-02-278577.65%0.7765
2062025-02-2812466.13%0.6613
2072025-03-0320461.76%0.6176
2082025-03-0437763.93%0.6393
2092025-03-0539067.18%0.6718
2102025-03-0634470.06%0.7006
2112025-03-0745470.48%0.7048
2122025-03-1036266.57%0.6657
2132025-03-1167367.61%0.6761
2142025-03-1219659.69%0.5969
2152025-03-1323063.48%0.6348
2162025-03-1413167.18%0.6718
2172025-03-178073.75%0.7375
2182025-03-1814567.59%0.6759
2192025-03-1914461.11%0.6111
2202025-03-206860.29%0.6029
2212025-03-219061.11%0.6111
2222025-03-245066.00%0.6600
2232025-03-253764.86%0.6486
2242025-03-266266.13%0.6613
2252025-03-279773.20%0.7320
2262025-03-2810872.22%0.7222
2272025-03-3112371.54%0.7154
2282025-04-0114670.55%0.7055
2292025-04-029267.39%0.6739
2302025-04-0336563.56%0.6356
2312025-04-04101065.84%0.6584
2322025-04-07227566.29%0.6629
2332025-04-08142370.06%0.7006
2342025-04-09214067.10%0.6710
2352025-04-10168371.00%0.7100
2362025-04-11104567.46%0.6746
2372025-04-1429671.28%0.7128
2382025-04-1518374.86%0.7486
2392025-04-1626365.02%0.6502
2402025-04-1726062.31%0.6231
2412025-04-2110669.81%0.6981
2422025-04-2216374.23%0.7423
2432025-04-2346264.29%0.6429
2442025-04-248868.18%0.6818
2452025-04-259063.33%0.6333
2462025-04-284868.75%0.6875
2472025-04-299362.37%0.6237
2482025-04-3013865.22%0.6522
2492025-05-018867.05%0.6705
2502025-05-025062.00%0.6200
2512025-05-053281.25%0.8125
2522025-05-066567.69%0.6769
2532025-05-0718964.02%0.6402
2542025-05-088771.26%0.7126
2552025-05-094254.76%0.5476
2562025-05-1210465.38%0.6538
2572025-05-132770.37%0.7037
2582025-05-144560.00%0.6000
2592025-05-153366.67%0.6667
2602025-05-162650.00%0.5000
2612025-05-2311664.66%0.6466
2622025-05-271573.33%0.7333
2632025-05-282864.29%0.6429
2642025-05-295572.73%0.7273
2652025-05-307357.53%0.5753
2662025-06-026256.45%0.5645
2672025-06-032770.37%0.7037
2682025-06-045154.90%0.5490
2692025-06-0511566.09%0.6609
2702025-06-063455.88%0.5588
2712025-06-092152.38%0.5238
2722025-06-102748.15%0.4815
2732025-06-117764.94%0.6494
2742025-06-123574.29%0.7429
2752025-06-139966.67%0.6667
2762025-06-163265.62%0.6562
2772025-06-173969.23%0.6923
2782025-06-189064.44%0.6444
2792025-06-205576.36%0.7636
2802025-06-237569.33%0.6933
2812025-06-243666.67%0.6667
2822025-06-251968.42%0.6842
2832025-06-262152.38%0.5238
2842025-06-274065.00%0.6500
2852025-06-304369.77%0.6977
2862025-07-013562.86%0.6286
2872025-07-022454.17%0.5417
2882025-07-031464.29%0.6429
2892025-07-075360.38%0.6038
2902025-07-084872.92%0.7292
2912025-07-092369.57%0.6957
2922025-07-101580.00%0.8000
2932025-07-111478.57%0.7857
2942025-07-141747.06%0.4706
2952025-07-156467.19%0.6719
2962025-07-1612965.89%0.6589
2972025-07-173073.33%0.7333
2982025-07-182259.09%0.5909
2992025-07-212171.43%0.7143
3002025-07-223070.00%0.7000
3012025-07-233652.78%0.5278
3022025-07-245170.59%0.7059
3032025-07-253275.00%0.7500
3042025-07-281070.00%0.7000
3052025-07-291866.67%0.6667
3062025-07-3010767.29%0.6729
3072025-07-315867.24%0.6724
3082025-08-0124969.48%0.6948
3092025-08-043372.73%0.7273
3102025-08-056262.90%0.6290
3112025-08-063580.00%0.8000
3122025-08-078171.60%0.7160
3132025-08-084175.61%0.7561
3142025-08-113672.22%0.7222
3152025-08-124564.44%0.6444
3162025-08-134367.44%0.6744
3172025-08-142272.73%0.7273
3182025-08-152944.83%0.4483
3192025-08-181346.15%0.4615
3202025-08-192661.54%0.6154
3212025-08-209165.93%0.6593
3222025-08-215271.15%0.7115
3232025-08-2212968.22%0.6822
3242025-08-251586.67%0.8667
3252025-08-262466.67%0.6667
3262025-08-272552.00%0.5200
3272025-08-282075.00%0.7500
3282025-08-293868.42%0.6842
3292025-09-0213068.46%0.6846
3302025-09-034374.42%0.7442
3312025-09-043366.67%0.6667
3322025-09-0526768.54%0.6854
3332025-09-085875.86%0.7586
3342025-09-0910764.49%0.6449
3352025-09-105056.00%0.5600
3362025-09-113167.74%0.6774
3372025-09-121656.25%0.5625
3382025-09-152965.52%0.6552
3392025-09-165556.36%0.5636
3402025-09-1744961.92%0.6192
3412025-09-187669.74%0.6974
3422025-09-193455.88%0.5588
3432025-09-223161.29%0.6129
3442025-09-235572.73%0.7273
3452025-09-242095.00%0.9500
3462025-09-257064.29%0.6429
3472025-09-264580.00%0.8000
3482025-09-292356.52%0.5652
3492025-09-306567.69%0.6769
3502025-10-014470.45%0.7045
3512025-10-023562.86%0.6286
3522025-10-034168.29%0.6829
3532025-10-065060.00%0.6000
3542025-10-075561.82%0.6182
3552025-10-083066.67%0.6667
3562025-10-095872.41%0.7241
3572025-10-1049671.17%0.7117
3582025-10-1311667.24%0.6724
3592025-10-1424663.41%0.6341
3602025-10-1514663.01%0.6301
3612025-10-1636772.48%0.7248
3622025-10-1725566.67%0.6667
3632025-10-204553.33%0.5333
3642025-10-215168.63%0.6863
3652025-10-2215669.87%0.6987
3662025-10-236369.84%0.6984
3672025-10-243455.88%0.5588
3682025-10-271872.22%0.7222
3692025-10-282245.45%0.4545
3702025-10-2933768.25%0.6825
3712025-10-3011479.82%0.7982
3722025-10-318781.61%0.8161
3732025-11-035872.41%0.7241
3742025-11-049170.33%0.7033
3752025-11-056479.69%0.7969
3762025-11-0614680.14%0.8014
3772025-11-0720073.00%0.7300
3782025-11-106172.13%0.7213
3792025-11-112360.87%0.6087
3802025-11-126360.32%0.6032
3812025-11-1322272.07%0.7207
3822025-11-1428268.44%0.6844
3832025-11-1720560.98%0.6098
3842025-11-1831473.25%0.7325
3852025-11-1915762.42%0.6242
3862025-11-2071367.88%0.6788
3872025-11-2155171.51%0.7151
3882025-11-2411761.54%0.6154
3892025-11-2518365.03%0.6503
3902025-11-266459.38%0.5938
3912025-11-281675.00%0.7500
3922025-12-014862.50%0.6250
3932025-12-027766.23%0.6623
3942025-12-036365.08%0.6508
3952025-12-045877.59%0.7759
3962025-12-053568.57%0.6857
3972025-12-083764.86%0.6486
3982025-12-0913655.15%0.5515
3992025-12-1020070.00%0.7000
4002025-12-117968.35%0.6835
4012025-12-1215170.86%0.7086
4022025-12-158663.95%0.6395
4032025-12-1613869.57%0.6957
4042025-12-1715462.34%0.6234
4052025-12-1813068.46%0.6846
4062025-12-193378.79%0.7879
4072025-12-223063.33%0.6333
4082025-12-231764.71%0.6471
4092025-12-24887.50%0.8750
4102025-12-26944.44%0.4444
4112025-12-292475.00%0.7500
4122025-12-301464.29%0.6429
4132025-12-312171.43%0.7143
4142026-01-056665.15%0.6515
4152026-01-078563.53%0.6353
4162026-01-084856.25%0.5625
4172026-01-094671.74%0.7174
4182026-01-124566.67%0.6667
4192026-01-1312253.28%0.5328
4202026-01-1415556.13%0.5613
4212026-01-158055.00%0.5500
4222026-01-165964.41%0.6441
4232026-01-2019464.43%0.6443
4242026-01-2125263.89%0.6389
4252026-01-228263.41%0.6341
4262026-01-237368.49%0.6849
4272026-01-2821967.12%0.6712
4282026-01-2930571.80%0.7180
4292026-01-3020968.42%0.6842
4302026-02-026773.13%0.7313
4312026-02-0332375.23%0.7523
4322026-02-0437468.18%0.6818
4332026-02-0544264.71%0.6471
4342026-02-097266.67%0.6667
4352026-02-1015667.95%0.6795
4362026-02-1122373.99%0.7399
4372026-02-1261169.89%0.6989
4382026-02-1344969.49%0.6949
4392026-02-1732167.91%0.6791
4402026-02-1811467.54%0.6754
4412026-02-1916468.90%0.6890
4422026-02-2036770.57%0.7057
4432026-02-2325468.50%0.6850
4442026-02-2419070.53%0.7053
4452026-02-255955.93%0.5593
4462026-02-2623870.17%0.7017
4472026-02-2737965.96%0.6596
4482026-03-0238971.98%0.7198
4492026-03-0368267.01%0.6701
4502026-03-0427163.47%0.6347
4512026-03-0550861.22%0.6122
4522026-03-0664060.94%0.6094
4532026-03-0973259.56%0.5956
4542026-03-1058858.84%0.5884
4552026-03-1143762.24%0.6224
4562026-03-1244961.02%0.6102
4572026-03-1335661.80%0.6180
4582026-03-1624660.57%0.6057
4592026-03-1716266.05%0.6605
4602026-03-1828063.21%0.6321
4612026-03-1943462.90%0.6290
4622026-03-2036966.12%0.6612
4632026-03-2360063.67%0.6367
4642026-03-2448167.78%0.6778
4652026-03-2538065.53%0.6553
4662026-03-2623461.11%0.6111
4672026-03-2739861.81%0.6181
4682026-03-3033060.00%0.6000
4692026-03-3169458.65%0.5865
4702026-04-0128259.57%0.5957
4712026-04-0235665.17%0.6517
4722026-04-0618960.32%0.6032
4732026-04-0740466.34%0.6634
4742026-04-0825866.28%0.6628
4752026-04-0915162.25%0.6225
4762026-04-107653.95%0.5395
4772026-04-1312067.50%0.6750
4782026-04-1411261.61%0.6161
4792026-04-1510363.11%0.6311
4802026-04-1612259.84%0.5984
4812026-04-1715362.09%0.6209
4822026-04-2012958.91%0.5891
4832026-04-2129656.76%0.5676
4842026-04-2212760.63%0.6063
4852026-04-2328466.90%0.6690
4862026-04-2412067.50%0.6750
4872026-04-275757.89%0.5789
4882026-04-2810465.38%0.6538
4892026-04-2912166.12%0.6612
4902026-04-308058.75%0.5875
4912026-05-0111369.03%0.6903
MS · C+XLF+DB+USB+UBS->MS
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

Tap a point, or focus the plot and use arrow keys.

Exact values: every recorded day
MS: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-22250.00%0.5000
1212024-10-232100.00%1.0000
1222024-10-24887.50%0.8750
1232024-10-25633.33%0.3333
1242024-10-28771.43%0.7143
1252024-10-29560.00%0.6000
1262024-10-30666.67%0.6667
1272024-10-31875.00%0.7500
1282024-11-011060.00%0.6000
1292024-11-04475.00%0.7500
1302024-11-05560.00%0.6000
1312024-11-065448.15%0.4815
1322024-11-071060.00%0.6000
1332024-11-08475.00%0.7500
1342024-11-11728.57%0.2857
1352024-11-1210.00%0.0000
1362024-11-13250.00%0.5000
1372024-11-14771.43%0.7143
1382024-11-15666.67%0.6667
1392024-11-18333.33%0.3333
1402024-11-191060.00%0.6000
1412024-11-20771.43%0.7143
1422024-11-211968.42%0.6842
1432024-11-225100.00%1.0000
1442024-11-26475.00%0.7500
1452024-11-270No predictions0.0000
1462024-11-29366.67%0.6667
1472024-12-02728.57%0.2857
1482024-12-031100.00%1.0000
1492024-12-0410.00%0.0000
1502024-12-05250.00%0.5000
1512024-12-06742.86%0.4286
1522024-12-09333.33%0.3333
1532024-12-10475.00%0.7500
1542024-12-11633.33%0.3333
1552024-12-1210.00%0.0000
1562024-12-130No predictions0.0000
1572024-12-1610.00%0.0000
1582024-12-17540.00%0.4000
1592024-12-185565.45%0.6545
1602024-12-192245.45%0.4545
1612024-12-202373.91%0.7391
1622024-12-23475.00%0.7500
1632024-12-240No predictions0.0000
1642024-12-26250.00%0.5000
1652024-12-271392.31%0.9231
1662024-12-301752.94%0.5294
1672024-12-31875.00%0.7500
1682025-01-023357.58%0.5758
1692025-01-031764.71%0.6471
1702025-01-061050.00%0.5000
1712025-01-074047.50%0.4750
1722025-01-082965.52%0.6552
1732025-01-104772.34%0.7234
1742025-01-13977.78%0.7778
1752025-01-141145.45%0.4545
1762025-01-151050.00%0.5000
1772025-01-161275.00%0.7500
1782025-01-17425.00%0.2500
1792025-01-21683.33%0.8333
1802025-01-22540.00%0.4000
1812025-01-23666.67%0.6667
1822025-01-24450.00%0.5000
1832025-01-271560.00%0.6000
1842025-01-28366.67%0.6667
1852025-01-293066.67%0.6667
1862025-01-302166.67%0.6667
1872025-01-312965.52%0.6552
1882025-02-0311364.60%0.6460
1892025-02-04560.00%0.6000
1902025-02-05666.67%0.6667
1912025-02-062100.00%1.0000
1922025-02-076270.97%0.7097
1932025-02-10450.00%0.5000
1942025-02-114100.00%1.0000
1952025-02-122075.00%0.7500
1962025-02-131662.50%0.6250
1972025-02-14250.00%0.5000
1982025-02-18450.00%0.5000
1992025-02-19475.00%0.7500
2002025-02-201464.29%0.6429
2012025-02-214100.00%1.0000
2022025-02-244170.73%0.7073
2032025-02-254571.11%0.7111
2042025-02-262951.72%0.5172
2052025-02-275160.78%0.6078
2062025-02-287767.53%0.6753
2072025-03-0311758.97%0.5897
2082025-03-0429867.45%0.6745
2092025-03-0523462.39%0.6239
2102025-03-0618861.17%0.6117
2112025-03-0732563.08%0.6308
2122025-03-1025461.42%0.6142
2132025-03-1145161.64%0.6164
2142025-03-1211057.27%0.5727
2152025-03-1310846.30%0.4630
2162025-03-145971.19%0.7119
2172025-03-174351.16%0.5116
2182025-03-187955.70%0.5570
2192025-03-198956.18%0.5618
2202025-03-203060.00%0.6000
2212025-03-214160.98%0.6098
2222025-03-242762.96%0.6296
2232025-03-252268.18%0.6818
2242025-03-262665.38%0.6538
2252025-03-275052.00%0.5200
2262025-03-284346.51%0.4651
2272025-03-315658.93%0.5893
2282025-04-0110365.05%0.6505
2292025-04-024261.90%0.6190
2302025-04-0322453.57%0.5357
2312025-04-0492860.67%0.6067
2322025-04-07158963.75%0.6375
2332025-04-0894072.77%0.7277
2342025-04-09113566.17%0.6617
2352025-04-10109372.83%0.7283
2362025-04-1153569.35%0.6935
2372025-04-1418676.34%0.7634
2382025-04-158362.65%0.6265
2392025-04-1614462.50%0.6250
2402025-04-1715174.83%0.7483
2412025-04-215964.41%0.6441
2422025-04-229367.74%0.6774
2432025-04-2329861.41%0.6141
2442025-04-244562.22%0.6222
2452025-04-254667.39%0.6739
2462025-04-282568.00%0.6800
2472025-04-295162.75%0.6275
2482025-04-307250.00%0.5000
2492025-05-014665.22%0.6522
2502025-05-023240.62%0.4062
2512025-05-051973.68%0.7368
2522025-05-063342.42%0.4242
2532025-05-0711561.74%0.6174
2542025-05-083852.63%0.5263
2552025-05-091637.50%0.3750
2562025-05-125567.27%0.6727
2572025-05-131471.43%0.7143
2582025-05-141566.67%0.6667
2592025-05-157100.00%1.0000
2602025-05-161275.00%0.7500
2612025-05-235371.70%0.7170
2622025-05-27250.00%0.5000
2632025-05-28887.50%0.8750
2642025-05-292755.56%0.5556
2652025-05-304770.21%0.7021
2662025-06-022272.73%0.7273
2672025-06-031471.43%0.7143
2682025-06-041353.85%0.5385
2692025-06-054468.18%0.6818
2702025-06-061471.43%0.7143
2712025-06-09785.71%0.8571
2722025-06-101844.44%0.4444
2732025-06-113868.42%0.6842
2742025-06-121735.29%0.3529
2752025-06-134568.89%0.6889
2762025-06-161770.59%0.7059
2772025-06-171656.25%0.5625
2782025-06-184160.98%0.6098
2792025-06-202055.00%0.5500
2802025-06-234264.29%0.6429
2812025-06-241163.64%0.6364
2822025-06-25560.00%0.6000
2832025-06-261478.57%0.7857
2842025-06-271485.71%0.8571
2852025-06-302661.54%0.6154
2862025-07-011145.45%0.4545
2872025-07-021233.33%0.3333
2882025-07-03580.00%0.8000
2892025-07-074160.98%0.6098
2902025-07-083066.67%0.6667
2912025-07-091070.00%0.7000
2922025-07-101100.00%1.0000
2932025-07-11683.33%0.8333
2942025-07-14944.44%0.4444
2952025-07-152369.57%0.6957
2962025-07-167460.81%0.6081
2972025-07-171241.67%0.4167
2982025-07-181442.86%0.4286
2992025-07-21666.67%0.6667
3002025-07-221877.78%0.7778
3012025-07-232157.14%0.5714
3022025-07-241560.00%0.6000
3032025-07-25966.67%0.6667
3042025-07-28966.67%0.6667
3052025-07-291450.00%0.5000
3062025-07-306256.45%0.5645
3072025-07-312958.62%0.5862
3082025-08-018970.79%0.7079
3092025-08-041866.67%0.6667
3102025-08-052458.33%0.5833
3112025-08-061566.67%0.6667
3122025-08-074465.91%0.6591
3132025-08-081266.67%0.6667
3142025-08-111656.25%0.5625
3152025-08-122661.54%0.6154
3162025-08-131675.00%0.7500
3172025-08-141369.23%0.6923
3182025-08-151258.33%0.5833
3192025-08-18785.71%0.8571
3202025-08-191090.00%0.9000
3212025-08-204158.54%0.5854
3222025-08-212445.83%0.4583
3232025-08-225462.96%0.6296
3242025-08-25580.00%0.8000
3252025-08-26785.71%0.8571
3262025-08-271442.86%0.4286
3272025-08-28757.14%0.5714
3282025-08-292161.90%0.6190
3292025-09-025561.82%0.6182
3302025-09-032378.26%0.7826
3312025-09-041566.67%0.6667
3322025-09-0514872.30%0.7230
3332025-09-082972.41%0.7241
3342025-09-095068.00%0.6800
3352025-09-102965.52%0.6552
3362025-09-112369.57%0.6957
3372025-09-121060.00%0.6000
3382025-09-151540.00%0.4000
3392025-09-162650.00%0.5000
3402025-09-1733865.09%0.6509
3412025-09-185459.26%0.5926
3422025-09-192564.00%0.6400
3432025-09-22966.67%0.6667
3442025-09-232147.62%0.4762
3452025-09-241266.67%0.6667
3462025-09-252055.00%0.5500
3472025-09-262356.52%0.5652
3482025-09-291172.73%0.7273
3492025-09-302979.31%0.7931
3502025-10-011258.33%0.5833
3512025-10-021752.94%0.5294
3522025-10-031258.33%0.5833
3532025-10-062065.00%0.6500
3542025-10-072365.22%0.6522
3552025-10-081952.63%0.5263
3562025-10-091573.33%0.7333
3572025-10-1036270.44%0.7044
3582025-10-135366.04%0.6604
3592025-10-1414054.29%0.5429
3602025-10-158360.24%0.6024
3612025-10-1622264.41%0.6441
3622025-10-1712467.74%0.6774
3632025-10-202065.00%0.6500
3642025-10-212462.50%0.6250
3652025-10-2210065.00%0.6500
3662025-10-232564.00%0.6400
3672025-10-241450.00%0.5000
3682025-10-271154.55%0.5455
3692025-10-281266.67%0.6667
3702025-10-2919871.72%0.7172
3712025-10-307467.57%0.6757
3722025-10-314772.34%0.7234
3732025-11-033560.00%0.6000
3742025-11-043971.79%0.7179
3752025-11-054065.00%0.6500
3762025-11-066962.32%0.6232
3772025-11-0710660.38%0.6038
3782025-11-102556.00%0.5600
3792025-11-111361.54%0.6154
3802025-11-122665.38%0.6538
3812025-11-139259.78%0.5978
3822025-11-1411962.18%0.6218
3832025-11-178061.25%0.6125
3842025-11-1815860.76%0.6076
3852025-11-194573.33%0.7333
3862025-11-2037368.36%0.6836
3872025-11-2130070.33%0.7033
3882025-11-245366.04%0.6604
3892025-11-256866.18%0.6618
3902025-11-262965.52%0.6552
3912025-11-2830.00%0.0000
3922025-12-011553.33%0.5333
3932025-12-022548.00%0.4800
3942025-12-032373.91%0.7391
3952025-12-041435.71%0.3571
3962025-12-051770.59%0.7059
3972025-12-081764.71%0.6471
3982025-12-092653.85%0.5385
3992025-12-1010871.30%0.7130
4002025-12-113366.67%0.6667
4012025-12-126167.21%0.6721
4022025-12-153262.50%0.6250
4032025-12-166864.71%0.6471
4042025-12-176262.90%0.6290
4052025-12-186569.23%0.6923
4062025-12-191668.75%0.6875
4072025-12-221250.00%0.5000
4082025-12-23250.00%0.5000
4092025-12-24580.00%0.8000
4102025-12-262100.00%1.0000
4112025-12-291163.64%0.6364
4122025-12-30475.00%0.7500
4132025-12-31955.56%0.5556
4142026-01-053772.97%0.7297
4152026-01-072065.00%0.6500
4162026-01-081963.16%0.6316
4172026-01-092356.52%0.5652
4182026-01-121752.94%0.5294
4192026-01-136857.35%0.5735
4202026-01-147761.04%0.6104
4212026-01-154555.56%0.5556
4222026-01-161764.71%0.6471
4232026-01-209467.02%0.6702
4242026-01-2113159.54%0.5954
4252026-01-224864.58%0.6458
4262026-01-234047.50%0.4750
4272026-01-2814665.75%0.6575
4282026-01-2916465.85%0.6585
4292026-01-3013667.65%0.6765
4302026-02-023574.29%0.7429
4312026-02-0322269.82%0.6982
4322026-02-0425871.32%0.7132
4332026-02-0532665.95%0.6595
4342026-02-095145.10%0.4510
4352026-02-109063.33%0.6333
4362026-02-1115970.44%0.7044
4372026-02-1236664.21%0.6421
4382026-02-1333670.24%0.7024
4392026-02-1720770.05%0.7005
4402026-02-186572.31%0.7231
4412026-02-1910971.56%0.7156
4422026-02-2025066.40%0.6640
4432026-02-2313372.18%0.7218
4442026-02-2411774.36%0.7436
4452026-02-254065.00%0.6500
4462026-02-2612071.67%0.7167
4472026-02-2722767.84%0.6784
4482026-03-0224068.33%0.6833
4492026-03-0341371.43%0.7143
4502026-03-0417664.77%0.6477
4512026-03-0528268.79%0.6879
4522026-03-0639567.34%0.6734
4532026-03-0944866.96%0.6696
4542026-03-1033872.78%0.7278
4552026-03-1130769.38%0.6938
4562026-03-1236468.41%0.6841
4572026-03-1324166.80%0.6680
4582026-03-1613565.93%0.6593
4592026-03-1710662.26%0.6226
4602026-03-1821564.19%0.6419
4612026-03-1933070.00%0.7000
4622026-03-2026867.16%0.6716
4632026-03-2354761.61%0.6161
4642026-03-2441859.57%0.5957
4652026-03-2528864.93%0.6493
4662026-03-2618167.40%0.6740
4672026-03-2722269.37%0.6937
4682026-03-3018961.38%0.6138
4692026-03-3138666.58%0.6658
4702026-04-0122162.90%0.6290
4712026-04-0228463.73%0.6373
4722026-04-0615863.92%0.6392
4732026-04-0726168.58%0.6858
4742026-04-0819071.05%0.7105
4752026-04-0910176.24%0.7624
4762026-04-104465.91%0.6591
4772026-04-138477.38%0.7738
4782026-04-149957.58%0.5758
4792026-04-156264.52%0.6452
4802026-04-167570.67%0.7067
4812026-04-179866.33%0.6633
4822026-04-208460.71%0.6071
4832026-04-2116661.45%0.6145
4842026-04-227768.83%0.6883
4852026-04-2320969.86%0.6986
4862026-04-2410666.98%0.6698
4872026-04-275865.52%0.6552
4882026-04-286365.08%0.6508
4892026-04-297954.43%0.5443
4902026-04-303762.16%0.6216
4912026-05-017364.38%0.6438
PNC · XLF+BAC+USB+MS+WFC->PNC
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

Tap a point, or focus the plot and use arrow keys.

Exact values: every recorded day
PNC: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-225379.25%0.7925
1212024-10-234584.44%0.8444
1222024-10-243476.47%0.7647
1232024-10-258469.05%0.6905
1242024-10-284676.09%0.7609
1252024-10-295468.52%0.6852
1262024-10-304365.12%0.6512
1272024-10-319979.80%0.7980
1282024-11-016777.61%0.7761
1292024-11-047177.46%0.7746
1302024-11-055178.43%0.7843
1312024-11-0632771.25%0.7125
1322024-11-079272.83%0.7283
1332024-11-085886.21%0.8621
1342024-11-116479.69%0.7969
1352024-11-122788.89%0.8889
1362024-11-134168.29%0.6829
1372024-11-144580.00%0.8000
1382024-11-159077.78%0.7778
1392024-11-182588.00%0.8800
1402024-11-195076.00%0.7600
1412024-11-207879.49%0.7949
1422024-11-217979.75%0.7975
1432024-11-225676.79%0.7679
1442024-11-263982.05%0.8205
1452024-11-272491.67%0.9167
1462024-11-292176.19%0.7619
1472024-12-025080.00%0.8000
1482024-12-033275.00%0.7500
1492024-12-044072.50%0.7250
1502024-12-054470.45%0.7045
1512024-12-063363.64%0.6364
1522024-12-093873.68%0.7368
1532024-12-106274.19%0.7419
1542024-12-116475.00%0.7500
1552024-12-123381.82%0.8182
1562024-12-134961.22%0.6122
1572024-12-164374.42%0.7442
1582024-12-175585.45%0.8545
1592024-12-1835575.77%0.7577
1602024-12-1922978.60%0.7860
1612024-12-2021782.03%0.8203
1622024-12-2315379.08%0.7908
1632024-12-241989.47%0.8947
1642024-12-262290.91%0.9091
1652024-12-2710078.00%0.7800
1662024-12-3011387.61%0.8761
1672024-12-3113481.34%0.8134
1682025-01-0225683.98%0.8398
1692025-01-038989.89%0.8989
1702025-01-068679.07%0.7907
1712025-01-0717074.71%0.7471
1722025-01-0814180.85%0.8085
1732025-01-1019282.81%0.8281
1742025-01-1318176.24%0.7624
1752025-01-1411982.35%0.8235
1762025-01-1512973.64%0.7364
1772025-01-1614471.53%0.7153
1782025-01-177472.97%0.7297
1792025-01-216275.81%0.7581
1802025-01-226576.92%0.7692
1812025-01-234680.43%0.8043
1822025-01-245581.82%0.8182
1832025-01-2711175.68%0.7568
1842025-01-285282.69%0.8269
1852025-01-2915984.28%0.8428
1862025-01-3012772.44%0.7244
1872025-01-3116681.33%0.8133
1882025-02-0327779.78%0.7978
1892025-02-046173.77%0.7377
1902025-02-053865.79%0.6579
1912025-02-063284.38%0.8438
1922025-02-0712881.25%0.8125
1932025-02-104571.11%0.7111
1942025-02-112584.00%0.8400
1952025-02-125791.23%0.9123
1962025-02-137372.60%0.7260
1972025-02-142470.83%0.7083
1982025-02-183881.58%0.8158
1992025-02-192676.92%0.7692
2002025-02-209773.20%0.7320
2012025-02-2112380.49%0.8049
2022025-02-2413381.95%0.8195
2032025-02-2524180.08%0.8008
2042025-02-2612583.20%0.8320
2052025-02-2722578.22%0.7822
2062025-02-2822878.07%0.7807
2072025-03-0337080.81%0.8081
2082025-03-0458676.96%0.7696
2092025-03-0553379.74%0.7974
2102025-03-0644182.31%0.8231
2112025-03-0749679.03%0.7903
2122025-03-1048173.39%0.7339
2132025-03-1170679.18%0.7918
2142025-03-1228477.11%0.7711
2152025-03-1322381.61%0.8161
2162025-03-1417082.35%0.8235
2172025-03-1715375.82%0.7582
2182025-03-1817075.88%0.7588
2192025-03-1921382.16%0.8216
2202025-03-2013576.30%0.7630
2212025-03-2115383.01%0.8301
2222025-03-245879.31%0.7931
2232025-03-258477.38%0.7738
2242025-03-2611571.30%0.7130
2252025-03-2713971.22%0.7122
2262025-03-2815178.81%0.7881
2272025-03-3125773.54%0.7354
2282025-04-0128079.29%0.7929
2292025-04-0218384.70%0.8470
2302025-04-0350077.60%0.7760
2312025-04-04124774.26%0.7426
2322025-04-07170476.58%0.7658
2332025-04-08116479.38%0.7938
2342025-04-09174377.68%0.7768
2352025-04-10109676.82%0.7682
2362025-04-1182074.88%0.7488
2372025-04-1442278.91%0.7891
2382025-04-1521875.69%0.7569
2392025-04-1631279.17%0.7917
2402025-04-1734777.23%0.7723
2412025-04-2115478.57%0.7857
2422025-04-2222775.33%0.7533
2432025-04-2349377.28%0.7728
2442025-04-2412978.29%0.7829
2452025-04-2514365.73%0.6573
2462025-04-2812683.33%0.8333
2472025-04-2913775.91%0.7591
2482025-04-3025767.70%0.6770
2492025-05-0114673.97%0.7397
2502025-05-0210374.76%0.7476
2512025-05-0510976.15%0.7615
2522025-05-0613279.55%0.7955
2532025-05-0741875.60%0.7560
2542025-05-0817777.97%0.7797
2552025-05-0910285.29%0.8529
2562025-05-1216573.33%0.7333
2572025-05-138882.95%0.8295
2582025-05-149974.75%0.7475
2592025-05-156388.89%0.8889
2602025-05-167470.27%0.7027
2612025-05-2315780.89%0.8089
2622025-05-273778.38%0.7838
2632025-05-286972.46%0.7246
2642025-05-2915281.58%0.8158
2652025-05-3014671.92%0.7192
2662025-06-026978.26%0.7826
2672025-06-035288.46%0.8846
2682025-06-047188.73%0.8873
2692025-06-0519490.72%0.9072
2702025-06-066387.30%0.8730
2712025-06-095468.52%0.6852
2722025-06-106287.10%0.8710
2732025-06-1115780.25%0.8025
2742025-06-129481.91%0.8191
2752025-06-1318675.27%0.7527
2762025-06-167876.92%0.7692
2772025-06-179680.21%0.8021
2782025-06-1816381.60%0.8160
2792025-06-2011679.31%0.7931
2802025-06-2315282.89%0.8289
2812025-06-246675.76%0.7576
2822025-06-254678.26%0.7826
2832025-06-265474.07%0.7407
2842025-06-277387.67%0.8767
2852025-06-307273.61%0.7361
2862025-07-017975.95%0.7595
2872025-07-025166.67%0.6667
2882025-07-033663.89%0.6389
2892025-07-0711678.45%0.7845
2902025-07-086683.33%0.8333
2912025-07-096975.36%0.7536
2922025-07-102070.00%0.7000
2932025-07-112391.30%0.9130
2942025-07-145979.66%0.7966
2952025-07-1512176.03%0.7603
2962025-07-1613568.15%0.6815
2972025-07-179571.58%0.7158
2982025-07-187173.24%0.7324
2992025-07-216776.12%0.7612
3002025-07-227780.52%0.8052
3012025-07-237577.33%0.7733
3022025-07-244983.67%0.8367
3032025-07-253076.67%0.7667
3042025-07-281883.33%0.8333
3052025-07-294981.63%0.8163
3062025-07-3015180.79%0.8079
3072025-07-3111276.79%0.7679
3082025-08-0124974.70%0.7470
3092025-08-044879.17%0.7917
3102025-08-056584.62%0.8462
3112025-08-064175.61%0.7561
3122025-08-0710887.96%0.8796
3132025-08-084691.30%0.9130
3142025-08-115981.36%0.8136
3152025-08-126085.00%0.8500
3162025-08-135168.63%0.6863
3172025-08-144889.58%0.8958
3182025-08-154276.19%0.7619
3192025-08-183381.82%0.8182
3202025-08-193183.87%0.8387
3212025-08-209679.17%0.7917
3222025-08-217383.56%0.8356
3232025-08-2212579.20%0.7920
3242025-08-252867.86%0.6786
3252025-08-262475.00%0.7500
3262025-08-273680.56%0.8056
3272025-08-283170.97%0.7097
3282025-08-296478.12%0.7812
3292025-09-0212475.00%0.7500
3302025-09-036377.78%0.7778
3312025-09-043868.42%0.6842
3322025-09-0519887.37%0.8737
3332025-09-0811378.76%0.7876
3342025-09-0910577.14%0.7714
3352025-09-107581.33%0.8133
3362025-09-116081.67%0.8167
3372025-09-124070.00%0.7000
3382025-09-156071.67%0.7167
3392025-09-168077.50%0.7750
3402025-09-1741871.05%0.7105
3412025-09-189768.04%0.6804
3422025-09-196776.12%0.7612
3432025-09-223568.57%0.6857
3442025-09-236377.78%0.7778
3452025-09-243372.73%0.7273
3462025-09-259278.26%0.7826
3472025-09-266379.37%0.7937
3482025-09-295265.38%0.6538
3492025-09-3010467.31%0.6731
3502025-10-014383.72%0.8372
3512025-10-024475.00%0.7500
3522025-10-036373.02%0.7302
3532025-10-068879.55%0.7955
3542025-10-078882.95%0.8295
3552025-10-084575.56%0.7556
3562025-10-096274.19%0.7419
3572025-10-1044281.00%0.8100
3582025-10-1310677.36%0.7736
3592025-10-1426773.78%0.7378
3602025-10-1516476.83%0.7683
3612025-10-1630580.33%0.8033
3622025-10-1717471.84%0.7184
3632025-10-206572.31%0.7231
3642025-10-215280.77%0.8077
3652025-10-2218577.30%0.7730
3662025-10-236085.00%0.8500
3672025-10-244456.82%0.5682
3682025-10-273878.95%0.7895
3692025-10-283881.58%0.8158
3702025-10-2922178.73%0.7873
3712025-10-3011872.03%0.7203
3722025-10-316186.89%0.8689
3732025-11-036680.30%0.8030
3742025-11-048276.83%0.7683
3752025-11-056575.38%0.7538
3762025-11-066873.53%0.7353
3772025-11-0716465.85%0.6585
3782025-11-104470.45%0.7045
3792025-11-112979.31%0.7931
3802025-11-123878.95%0.7895
3812025-11-1315071.33%0.7133
3822025-11-1420258.91%0.5891
3832025-11-1719481.44%0.8144
3842025-11-1822481.70%0.8170
3852025-11-1913582.96%0.8296
3862025-11-2052176.39%0.7639
3872025-11-2139479.19%0.7919
3882025-11-2411671.55%0.7155
3892025-11-258884.09%0.8409
3902025-11-265771.93%0.7193
3912025-11-281662.50%0.6250
3922025-12-014372.09%0.7209
3932025-12-024372.09%0.7209
3942025-12-032958.62%0.5862
3952025-12-043971.79%0.7179
3962025-12-055174.51%0.7451
3972025-12-083767.57%0.6757
3982025-12-097972.15%0.7215
3992025-12-1016268.52%0.6852
4002025-12-116269.35%0.6935
4012025-12-129182.42%0.8242
4022025-12-158177.78%0.7778
4032025-12-169569.47%0.6947
4042025-12-179080.00%0.8000
4052025-12-189971.72%0.7172
4062025-12-193971.79%0.7179
4072025-12-222972.41%0.7241
4082025-12-232166.67%0.6667
4092025-12-24862.50%0.6250
4102025-12-26850.00%0.5000
4112025-12-291457.14%0.5714
4122025-12-301241.67%0.4167
4132025-12-312055.00%0.5500
4142026-01-058271.95%0.7195
4152026-01-074977.55%0.7755
4162026-01-084971.43%0.7143
4172026-01-093663.89%0.6389
4182026-01-124369.77%0.6977
4192026-01-139281.52%0.8152
4202026-01-1412575.20%0.7520
4212026-01-154965.31%0.6531
4222026-01-168373.49%0.7349
4232026-01-2016072.50%0.7250
4242026-01-2117471.26%0.7126
4252026-01-229481.91%0.8191
4262026-01-234580.00%0.8000
4272026-01-2810382.52%0.8252
4282026-01-2914077.86%0.7786
4292026-01-3015673.08%0.7308
4302026-02-025664.29%0.6429
4312026-02-0323669.49%0.6949
4322026-02-0420771.98%0.7198
4332026-02-0527175.65%0.7565
4342026-02-092867.86%0.6786
4352026-02-109566.32%0.6632
4362026-02-1114673.29%0.7329
4372026-02-1234078.82%0.7882
4382026-02-1332372.45%0.7245
4392026-02-1723868.07%0.6807
4402026-02-1810367.96%0.6796
4412026-02-199787.63%0.8763
4422026-02-2020669.90%0.6990
4432026-02-2318576.22%0.7622
4442026-02-2415773.89%0.7389
4452026-02-258580.00%0.8000
4462026-02-2614077.86%0.7786
4472026-02-2717876.97%0.7697
4482026-03-0229475.17%0.7517
4492026-03-0335475.14%0.7514
4502026-03-0415376.47%0.7647
4512026-03-0521478.50%0.7850
4522026-03-0647765.62%0.6562
4532026-03-0944572.58%0.7258
4542026-03-1041172.75%0.7275
4552026-03-1128076.79%0.7679
4562026-03-1246974.63%0.7463
4572026-03-1328980.28%0.8028
4582026-03-1616773.05%0.7305
4592026-03-1713378.20%0.7820
4602026-03-1826262.98%0.6298
4612026-03-1934965.33%0.6533
4622026-03-2028368.90%0.6890
4632026-03-2348567.84%0.6784
4642026-03-2440676.60%0.7660
4652026-03-2531966.14%0.6614
4662026-03-2618772.19%0.7219
4672026-03-2733769.14%0.6914
4682026-03-3025673.83%0.7383
4692026-03-3133271.69%0.7169
4702026-04-0126667.29%0.6729
4712026-04-0234673.12%0.7312
4722026-04-0613278.79%0.7879
4732026-04-0727472.63%0.7263
4742026-04-0816576.97%0.7697
4752026-04-096371.43%0.7143
4762026-04-104770.21%0.7021
4772026-04-139261.96%0.6196
4782026-04-1415064.00%0.6400
4792026-04-158575.29%0.7529
4802026-04-166475.00%0.7500
4812026-04-179064.44%0.6444
4822026-04-207177.46%0.7746
4832026-04-2119174.35%0.7435
4842026-04-227371.23%0.7123
4852026-04-2314468.75%0.6875
4862026-04-248270.73%0.7073
4872026-04-275078.00%0.7800
4882026-04-288568.24%0.6824
4892026-04-299161.54%0.6154
4902026-04-306972.46%0.7246
4912026-05-019971.72%0.7172
UBS · C+XLF+MS+JPM+PNC->UBS
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

Tap a point, or focus the plot and use arrow keys.

Exact values: every recorded day
UBS: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-22875.00%0.7500
1212024-10-23862.50%0.6250
1222024-10-241668.75%0.6875
1232024-10-25955.56%0.5556
1242024-10-28650.00%0.5000
1252024-10-29966.67%0.6667
1262024-10-301154.55%0.5455
1272024-10-311586.67%0.8667
1282024-11-011163.64%0.6364
1292024-11-041275.00%0.7500
1302024-11-05580.00%0.8000
1312024-11-064959.18%0.5918
1322024-11-07771.43%0.7143
1332024-11-084100.00%1.0000
1342024-11-11875.00%0.7500
1352024-11-12475.00%0.7500
1362024-11-13683.33%0.8333
1372024-11-141080.00%0.8000
1382024-11-151070.00%0.7000
1392024-11-182100.00%1.0000
1402024-11-19862.50%0.6250
1412024-11-201656.25%0.5625
1422024-11-211989.47%0.8947
1432024-11-22875.00%0.7500
1442024-11-26475.00%0.7500
1452024-11-27580.00%0.8000
1462024-11-29580.00%0.8000
1472024-12-02862.50%0.6250
1482024-12-034100.00%1.0000
1492024-12-04580.00%0.8000
1502024-12-05425.00%0.2500
1512024-12-0610.00%0.0000
1522024-12-09666.67%0.6667
1532024-12-101080.00%0.8000
1542024-12-11666.67%0.6667
1552024-12-127100.00%1.0000
1562024-12-13683.33%0.8333
1572024-12-16580.00%0.8000
1582024-12-175100.00%1.0000
1592024-12-184365.12%0.6512
1602024-12-192982.76%0.8276
1612024-12-203479.41%0.7941
1622024-12-231190.91%0.9091
1632024-12-242100.00%1.0000
1642024-12-260No predictions0.0000
1652024-12-27875.00%0.7500
1662024-12-30850.00%0.5000
1672024-12-311070.00%0.7000
1682025-01-022290.91%0.9091
1692025-01-03944.44%0.4444
1702025-01-06977.78%0.7778
1712025-01-071978.95%0.7895
1722025-01-081662.50%0.6250
1732025-01-103669.44%0.6944
1742025-01-132190.48%0.9048
1752025-01-14875.00%0.7500
1762025-01-152171.43%0.7143
1772025-01-161283.33%0.8333
1782025-01-17366.67%0.6667
1792025-01-21862.50%0.6250
1802025-01-221080.00%0.8000
1812025-01-235100.00%1.0000
1822025-01-244100.00%1.0000
1832025-01-271384.62%0.8462
1842025-01-28887.50%0.8750
1852025-01-292382.61%0.8261
1862025-01-302378.26%0.7826
1872025-01-313873.68%0.7368
1882025-02-038760.92%0.6092
1892025-02-042070.00%0.7000
1902025-02-052100.00%1.0000
1912025-02-06450.00%0.5000
1922025-02-073073.33%0.7333
1932025-02-10580.00%0.8000
1942025-02-11683.33%0.8333
1952025-02-12785.71%0.8571
1962025-02-131776.47%0.7647
1972025-02-14540.00%0.4000
1982025-02-1810.00%0.0000
1992025-02-19560.00%0.6000
2002025-02-201392.31%0.9231
2012025-02-211291.67%0.9167
2022025-02-243669.44%0.6944
2032025-02-254170.73%0.7073
2042025-02-261392.31%0.9231
2052025-02-274759.57%0.5957
2062025-02-284560.00%0.6000
2072025-03-0310668.87%0.6887
2082025-03-0414461.11%0.6111
2092025-03-0512064.17%0.6417
2102025-03-0612268.85%0.6885
2112025-03-0712471.77%0.7177
2122025-03-1010366.99%0.6699
2132025-03-1120964.11%0.6411
2142025-03-125863.79%0.6379
2152025-03-134667.39%0.6739
2162025-03-144261.90%0.6190
2172025-03-171687.50%0.8750
2182025-03-184580.00%0.8000
2192025-03-194862.50%0.6250
2202025-03-202556.00%0.5600
2212025-03-212864.29%0.6429
2222025-03-242176.19%0.7619
2232025-03-251681.25%0.8125
2242025-03-261181.82%0.8182
2252025-03-271586.67%0.8667
2262025-03-282878.57%0.7857
2272025-03-314669.57%0.6957
2282025-04-016573.85%0.7385
2292025-04-023476.47%0.7647
2302025-04-039154.95%0.5495
2312025-04-0438349.87%0.4987
2322025-04-0749167.41%0.6741
2332025-04-0836660.93%0.6093
2342025-04-0941971.12%0.7112
2352025-04-1044353.50%0.5350
2362025-04-1121760.83%0.6083
2372025-04-1411260.71%0.6071
2382025-04-154456.82%0.5682
2392025-04-166863.24%0.6324
2402025-04-178856.82%0.5682
2412025-04-213375.76%0.7576
2422025-04-224875.00%0.7500
2432025-04-2315761.15%0.6115
2442025-04-242080.00%0.8000
2452025-04-253560.00%0.6000
2462025-04-282475.00%0.7500
2472025-04-292157.14%0.5714
2482025-04-306157.38%0.5738
2492025-05-012584.00%0.8400
2502025-05-021650.00%0.5000
2512025-05-051866.67%0.6667
2522025-05-063366.67%0.6667
2532025-05-078759.77%0.5977
2542025-05-084656.52%0.5652
2552025-05-092157.14%0.5714
2562025-05-123262.50%0.6250
2572025-05-131471.43%0.7143
2582025-05-142568.00%0.6800
2592025-05-151464.29%0.6429
2602025-05-161668.75%0.6875
2612025-05-233764.86%0.6486
2622025-05-276100.00%1.0000
2632025-05-2812100.00%1.0000
2642025-05-292968.97%0.6897
2652025-05-303473.53%0.7353
2662025-06-022176.19%0.7619
2672025-06-031471.43%0.7143
2682025-06-041546.67%0.4667
2692025-06-055253.85%0.5385
2702025-06-061566.67%0.6667
2712025-06-091266.67%0.6667
2722025-06-101283.33%0.8333
2732025-06-114481.82%0.8182
2742025-06-122458.33%0.5833
2752025-06-133767.57%0.6757
2762025-06-161040.00%0.4000
2772025-06-171190.91%0.9091
2782025-06-183683.33%0.8333
2792025-06-202277.27%0.7727
2802025-06-232688.46%0.8846
2812025-06-241668.75%0.6875
2822025-06-25666.67%0.6667
2832025-06-261283.33%0.8333
2842025-06-271681.25%0.8125
2852025-06-301794.12%0.9412
2862025-07-011464.29%0.6429
2872025-07-021060.00%0.6000
2882025-07-032100.00%1.0000
2892025-07-073190.32%0.9032
2902025-07-081776.47%0.7647
2912025-07-09666.67%0.6667
2922025-07-10250.00%0.5000
2932025-07-114100.00%1.0000
2942025-07-14785.71%0.8571
2952025-07-152479.17%0.7917
2962025-07-163452.94%0.5294
2972025-07-17757.14%0.5714
2982025-07-18666.67%0.6667
2992025-07-21875.00%0.7500
3002025-07-221172.73%0.7273
3012025-07-231693.75%0.9375
3022025-07-24450.00%0.5000
3032025-07-25250.00%0.5000
3042025-07-286100.00%1.0000
3052025-07-29977.78%0.7778
3062025-07-304165.85%0.6585
3072025-07-312669.23%0.6923
3082025-08-016371.43%0.7143
3092025-08-041154.55%0.5455
3102025-08-051573.33%0.7333
3112025-08-061782.35%0.8235
3122025-08-071580.00%0.8000
3132025-08-085100.00%1.0000
3142025-08-111656.25%0.5625
3152025-08-121070.00%0.7000
3162025-08-1310100.00%1.0000
3172025-08-14475.00%0.7500
3182025-08-156100.00%1.0000
3192025-08-18683.33%0.8333
3202025-08-194100.00%1.0000
3212025-08-201770.59%0.7059
3222025-08-211080.00%0.8000
3232025-08-222277.27%0.7727
3242025-08-253100.00%1.0000
3252025-08-263100.00%1.0000
3262025-08-27580.00%0.8000
3272025-08-28683.33%0.8333
3282025-08-291283.33%0.8333
3292025-09-022466.67%0.6667
3302025-09-031060.00%0.6000
3312025-09-044100.00%1.0000
3322025-09-054175.61%0.7561
3332025-09-081888.89%0.8889
3342025-09-092962.07%0.6207
3352025-09-101384.62%0.8462
3362025-09-11966.67%0.6667
3372025-09-12560.00%0.6000
3382025-09-151258.33%0.5833
3392025-09-161687.50%0.8750
3402025-09-1717757.06%0.5706
3412025-09-181776.47%0.7647
3422025-09-191266.67%0.6667
3432025-09-22250.00%0.5000
3442025-09-231492.86%0.9286
3452025-09-245100.00%1.0000
3462025-09-251361.54%0.6154
3472025-09-262070.00%0.7000
3482025-09-29540.00%0.4000
3492025-09-302378.26%0.7826
3502025-10-01977.78%0.7778
3512025-10-02785.71%0.8571
3522025-10-035100.00%1.0000
3532025-10-061566.67%0.6667
3542025-10-071888.89%0.8889
3552025-10-084100.00%1.0000
3562025-10-091369.23%0.6923
3572025-10-1016962.72%0.6272
3582025-10-132564.00%0.6400
3592025-10-146162.30%0.6230
3602025-10-151758.82%0.5882
3612025-10-166377.78%0.7778
3622025-10-172676.92%0.7692
3632025-10-20988.89%0.8889
3642025-10-21771.43%0.7143
3652025-10-224660.87%0.6087
3662025-10-231471.43%0.7143
3672025-10-24850.00%0.5000
3682025-10-272100.00%1.0000
3692025-10-281275.00%0.7500
3702025-10-297657.89%0.5789
3712025-10-301291.67%0.9167
3722025-10-31887.50%0.8750
3732025-11-031190.91%0.9091
3742025-11-041090.00%0.9000
3752025-11-05742.86%0.4286
3762025-11-061471.43%0.7143
3772025-11-071984.21%0.8421
3782025-11-10887.50%0.8750
3792025-11-111181.82%0.8182
3802025-11-12785.71%0.8571
3812025-11-133073.33%0.7333
3822025-11-144475.00%0.7500
3832025-11-172766.67%0.6667
3842025-11-186270.97%0.7097
3852025-11-193881.58%0.8158
3862025-11-2014565.52%0.6552
3872025-11-219362.37%0.6237
3882025-11-243265.62%0.6562
3892025-11-251866.67%0.6667
3902025-11-261080.00%0.8000
3912025-11-28366.67%0.6667
3922025-12-01785.71%0.8571
3932025-12-02540.00%0.4000
3942025-12-03580.00%0.8000
3952025-12-044100.00%1.0000
3962025-12-05837.50%0.3750
3972025-12-08887.50%0.8750
3982025-12-091080.00%0.8000
3992025-12-104564.44%0.6444
4002025-12-111291.67%0.9167
4012025-12-123265.62%0.6562
4022025-12-15887.50%0.8750
4032025-12-162065.00%0.6500
4042025-12-172166.67%0.6667
4052025-12-182676.92%0.7692
4062025-12-19580.00%0.8000
4072025-12-224100.00%1.0000
4082025-12-231100.00%1.0000
4092025-12-24250.00%0.5000
4102025-12-262100.00%1.0000
4112025-12-294100.00%1.0000
4122025-12-30666.67%0.6667
4132025-12-31683.33%0.8333
4142026-01-051883.33%0.8333
4152026-01-071457.14%0.5714
4162026-01-081450.00%0.5000
4172026-01-091181.82%0.8182
4182026-01-121050.00%0.5000
4192026-01-133073.33%0.7333
4202026-01-142060.00%0.6000
4212026-01-151973.68%0.7368
4222026-01-161258.33%0.5833
4232026-01-203455.88%0.5588
4242026-01-215263.46%0.6346
4252026-01-222454.17%0.5417
4262026-01-232365.22%0.6522
4272026-01-284566.67%0.6667
4282026-01-296357.14%0.5714
4292026-01-305056.00%0.5600
4302026-02-021973.68%0.7368
4312026-02-037661.84%0.6184
4322026-02-047659.21%0.5921
4332026-02-059558.95%0.5895
4342026-02-091553.33%0.5333
4352026-02-102347.83%0.4783
4362026-02-114070.00%0.7000
4372026-02-129570.53%0.7053
4382026-02-1313556.30%0.5630
4392026-02-178448.81%0.4881
4402026-02-183675.00%0.7500
4412026-02-195056.00%0.5600
4422026-02-207853.85%0.5385
4432026-02-234959.18%0.5918
4442026-02-243574.29%0.7429
4452026-02-251681.25%0.8125
4462026-02-263167.74%0.6774
4472026-02-275860.34%0.6034
4482026-03-027058.57%0.5857
4492026-03-0316758.08%0.5808
4502026-03-047062.86%0.6286
4512026-03-058454.76%0.5476
4522026-03-0615556.77%0.5677
4532026-03-0917560.00%0.6000
4542026-03-1016661.45%0.6145
4552026-03-1110462.50%0.6250
4562026-03-1220658.25%0.5825
4572026-03-138860.23%0.6023
4582026-03-165770.18%0.7018
4592026-03-175856.90%0.5690
4602026-03-189653.12%0.5312
4612026-03-1920957.89%0.5789
4622026-03-2011168.47%0.6847
4632026-03-2319344.04%0.4404
4642026-03-2417657.95%0.5795
4652026-03-2514461.11%0.6111
4662026-03-268455.95%0.5595
4672026-03-2712366.67%0.6667
4682026-03-3010561.90%0.6190
4692026-03-3114959.06%0.5906
4702026-04-0110262.75%0.6275
4712026-04-0211052.73%0.5273
4722026-04-064555.56%0.5556
4732026-04-0710767.29%0.6729
4742026-04-087955.70%0.5570
4752026-04-093357.58%0.5758
4762026-04-101566.67%0.6667
4772026-04-133151.61%0.5161
4782026-04-142755.56%0.5556
4792026-04-151050.00%0.5000
4802026-04-162277.27%0.7727
4812026-04-173964.10%0.6410
4822026-04-202965.52%0.6552
4832026-04-217255.56%0.5556
4842026-04-222965.52%0.6552
4852026-04-236861.76%0.6176
4862026-04-242777.78%0.7778
4872026-04-272065.00%0.6500
4882026-04-282161.90%0.6190
4892026-04-292369.57%0.6957
4902026-04-302867.86%0.6786
4912026-05-014158.54%0.5854
USB · C+WFC+MS+JPM+PNC->USB
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

Tap a point, or focus the plot and use arrow keys.

Exact values: every recorded day
USB: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-2212759.84%0.5984
1212024-10-2314456.25%0.5625
1222024-10-248860.23%0.6023
1232024-10-2513150.38%0.5038
1242024-10-289352.69%0.5269
1252024-10-298363.86%0.6386
1262024-10-3011760.68%0.6068
1272024-10-3126358.94%0.5894
1282024-11-0112168.60%0.6860
1292024-11-0416659.04%0.5904
1302024-11-0510656.60%0.5660
1312024-11-06102151.91%0.5191
1322024-11-0732157.63%0.5763
1332024-11-0814454.17%0.5417
1342024-11-1123154.98%0.5498
1352024-11-128955.06%0.5506
1362024-11-1312862.50%0.6250
1372024-11-1411567.83%0.6783
1382024-11-1522963.76%0.6376
1392024-11-185655.36%0.5536
1402024-11-1911361.06%0.6106
1412024-11-2016257.41%0.5741
1422024-11-2115757.32%0.5732
1432024-11-2214660.96%0.6096
1442024-11-269047.78%0.4778
1452024-11-273772.97%0.7297
1462024-11-294465.91%0.6591
1472024-12-0211562.61%0.6261
1482024-12-034070.00%0.7000
1492024-12-046758.21%0.5821
1502024-12-055957.63%0.5763
1512024-12-065563.64%0.6364
1522024-12-098357.83%0.5783
1532024-12-109459.57%0.5957
1542024-12-118768.97%0.6897
1552024-12-127969.62%0.6962
1562024-12-136654.55%0.5455
1572024-12-166456.25%0.5625
1582024-12-177959.49%0.5949
1592024-12-1868252.20%0.5220
1602024-12-1940158.60%0.5860
1612024-12-2038559.22%0.5922
1622024-12-2319257.81%0.5781
1632024-12-243969.23%0.6923
1642024-12-266854.41%0.5441
1652024-12-2720564.88%0.6488
1662024-12-3022764.32%0.6432
1672024-12-3124553.06%0.5306
1682025-01-0243854.11%0.5411
1692025-01-0312650.79%0.5079
1702025-01-0617160.82%0.6082
1712025-01-0736758.04%0.5804
1722025-01-0818357.38%0.5738
1732025-01-1035053.71%0.5371
1742025-01-1325462.99%0.6299
1752025-01-1415162.91%0.6291
1762025-01-1528257.80%0.5780
1772025-01-1632761.47%0.6147
1782025-01-1718556.22%0.5622
1792025-01-2115357.52%0.5752
1802025-01-2210363.11%0.6311
1812025-01-237861.54%0.6154
1822025-01-247146.48%0.4648
1832025-01-2718268.68%0.6868
1842025-01-2813259.85%0.5985
1852025-01-2938659.07%0.5907
1862025-01-3023263.36%0.6336
1872025-01-3131062.26%0.6226
1882025-02-0364153.51%0.5351
1892025-02-0411262.50%0.6250
1902025-02-057458.11%0.5811
1912025-02-065554.55%0.5455
1922025-02-0726056.15%0.5615
1932025-02-107963.29%0.6329
1942025-02-116060.00%0.6000
1952025-02-129264.13%0.6413
1962025-02-139759.79%0.5979
1972025-02-144879.17%0.7917
1982025-02-185371.70%0.7170
1992025-02-197259.72%0.5972
2002025-02-2014568.28%0.6828
2012025-02-2117774.58%0.7458
2022025-02-2419362.69%0.6269
2032025-02-2536366.94%0.6694
2042025-02-2619872.22%0.7222
2052025-02-2741561.45%0.6145
2062025-02-2843764.07%0.6407
2072025-03-0362358.91%0.5891
2082025-03-04109653.92%0.5392
2092025-03-0583655.62%0.5562
2102025-03-0662462.98%0.6298
2112025-03-0769863.75%0.6375
2122025-03-1085460.54%0.6054
2132025-03-11122558.04%0.5804
2142025-03-1255362.39%0.6239
2152025-03-1342064.29%0.6429
2162025-03-1424263.22%0.6322
2172025-03-1722663.72%0.6372
2182025-03-1826864.55%0.6455
2192025-03-1930962.78%0.6278
2202025-03-2022361.43%0.6143
2212025-03-2118866.49%0.6649
2222025-03-2410471.15%0.7115
2232025-03-258466.67%0.6667
2242025-03-2618864.36%0.6436
2252025-03-2720057.50%0.5750
2262025-03-2818357.38%0.5738
2272025-03-3126471.21%0.7121
2282025-04-0127560.73%0.6073
2292025-04-0225964.09%0.6409
2302025-04-0382259.61%0.5961
2312025-04-04234053.50%0.5350
2322025-04-07314450.45%0.5045
2332025-04-08197851.57%0.5157
2342025-04-09237554.86%0.5486
2352025-04-10176750.65%0.5065
2362025-04-11105052.29%0.5229
2372025-04-1445152.33%0.5233
2382025-04-1529153.61%0.5361
2392025-04-1642959.44%0.5944
2402025-04-1739254.85%0.5485
2412025-04-2114266.20%0.6620
2422025-04-2227157.56%0.5756
2432025-04-2372051.25%0.5125
2442025-04-2414667.12%0.6712
2452025-04-2514461.11%0.6111
2462025-04-2814770.75%0.7075
2472025-04-2914162.41%0.6241
2482025-04-3029355.97%0.5597
2492025-05-0117865.17%0.6517
2502025-05-0214558.62%0.5862
2512025-05-059373.12%0.7312
2522025-05-0615664.10%0.6410
2532025-05-0747257.63%0.5763
2542025-05-0829967.89%0.6789
2552025-05-0913473.13%0.7313
2562025-05-1230053.67%0.5367
2572025-05-1312666.67%0.6667
2582025-05-1416467.07%0.6707
2592025-05-1511463.16%0.6316
2602025-05-168961.80%0.6180
2612025-05-2320767.15%0.6715
2622025-05-276162.30%0.6230
2632025-05-289770.10%0.7010
2642025-05-2914772.11%0.7211
2652025-05-3017571.43%0.7143
2662025-06-0211460.53%0.6053
2672025-06-035381.13%0.8113
2682025-06-048076.25%0.7625
2692025-06-0520969.86%0.6986
2702025-06-069467.02%0.6702
2712025-06-098873.86%0.7386
2722025-06-1011973.11%0.7311
2732025-06-1118270.33%0.7033
2742025-06-128772.41%0.7241
2752025-06-1324662.20%0.6220
2762025-06-1610466.35%0.6635
2772025-06-179671.88%0.7188
2782025-06-1821564.19%0.6419
2792025-06-2011264.29%0.6429
2802025-06-2314771.43%0.7143
2812025-06-248062.50%0.6250
2822025-06-255078.00%0.7800
2832025-06-266450.00%0.5000
2842025-06-276168.85%0.6885
2852025-06-307466.22%0.6622
2862025-07-018975.28%0.7528
2872025-07-025474.07%0.7407
2882025-07-036063.33%0.6333
2892025-07-0713472.39%0.7239
2902025-07-0810077.00%0.7700
2912025-07-097265.28%0.6528
2922025-07-104374.42%0.7442
2932025-07-112576.00%0.7600
2942025-07-145475.93%0.7593
2952025-07-1514873.65%0.7365
2962025-07-1620466.18%0.6618
2972025-07-1714858.78%0.5878
2982025-07-189863.27%0.6327
2992025-07-216177.05%0.7705
3002025-07-228760.92%0.6092
3012025-07-239173.63%0.7363
3022025-07-246973.91%0.7391
3032025-07-254854.17%0.5417
3042025-07-284379.07%0.7907
3052025-07-295166.67%0.6667
3062025-07-3020471.57%0.7157
3072025-07-3116373.01%0.7301
3082025-08-0132462.96%0.6296
3092025-08-046761.19%0.6119
3102025-08-059972.73%0.7273
3112025-08-066583.08%0.8308
3122025-08-0712176.03%0.7603
3132025-08-086869.12%0.6912
3142025-08-118571.76%0.7176
3152025-08-128070.00%0.7000
3162025-08-137780.52%0.8052
3172025-08-146963.77%0.6377
3182025-08-156369.84%0.6984
3192025-08-183470.59%0.7059
3202025-08-195872.41%0.7241
3212025-08-2011269.64%0.6964
3222025-08-216471.88%0.7188
3232025-08-2221862.84%0.6284
3242025-08-253680.56%0.8056
3252025-08-264768.09%0.6809
3262025-08-274372.09%0.7209
3272025-08-284957.14%0.5714
3282025-08-297176.06%0.7606
3292025-09-0217269.19%0.6919
3302025-09-0311879.66%0.7966
3312025-09-048673.26%0.7326
3322025-09-0533263.25%0.6325
3332025-09-0813066.15%0.6615
3342025-09-0918659.14%0.5914
3352025-09-1013360.15%0.6015
3362025-09-1110362.14%0.6214
3372025-09-125666.07%0.6607
3382025-09-156864.71%0.6471
3392025-09-1610975.23%0.7523
3402025-09-1773757.12%0.5712
3412025-09-1816862.50%0.6250
3422025-09-1911066.36%0.6636
3432025-09-225874.14%0.7414
3442025-09-239869.39%0.6939
3452025-09-247174.65%0.7465
3462025-09-2512770.08%0.7008
3472025-09-2610170.30%0.7030
3482025-09-298466.67%0.6667
3492025-09-3011973.95%0.7395
3502025-10-017464.86%0.6486
3512025-10-027573.33%0.7333
3522025-10-0311867.80%0.6780
3532025-10-0614061.43%0.6143
3542025-10-0714965.77%0.6577
3552025-10-0810454.81%0.5481
3562025-10-099266.30%0.6630
3572025-10-1071155.70%0.5570
3582025-10-1314062.86%0.6286
3592025-10-1446356.16%0.5616
3602025-10-1527758.84%0.5884
3612025-10-1665554.20%0.5420
3622025-10-1730657.52%0.5752
3632025-10-2012563.20%0.6320
3642025-10-218369.88%0.6988
3652025-10-2224258.68%0.5868
3662025-10-2310054.00%0.5400
3672025-10-246654.55%0.5455
3682025-10-277757.14%0.5714
3692025-10-286858.82%0.5882
3702025-10-2940454.46%0.5446
3712025-10-3018864.36%0.6436
3722025-10-3110763.55%0.6355
3732025-11-0313070.77%0.7077
3742025-11-0414059.29%0.5929
3752025-11-0513455.97%0.5597
3762025-11-0620256.93%0.5693
3772025-11-0729150.86%0.5086
3782025-11-1010958.72%0.5872
3792025-11-115657.14%0.5714
3802025-11-1214054.29%0.5429
3812025-11-1327766.79%0.6679
3822025-11-1432363.47%0.6347
3832025-11-1728973.01%0.7301
3842025-11-1838957.07%0.5707
3852025-11-1919470.10%0.7010
3862025-11-2067060.75%0.6075
3872025-11-2170955.71%0.5571
3882025-11-2421359.62%0.5962
3892025-11-2520755.07%0.5507
3902025-11-269358.06%0.5806
3912025-11-282684.62%0.8462
3922025-12-017169.01%0.6901
3932025-12-0210262.75%0.6275
3942025-12-0310464.42%0.6442
3952025-12-0411566.09%0.6609
3962025-12-0511258.04%0.5804
3972025-12-087777.92%0.7792
3982025-12-0920361.08%0.6108
3992025-12-1033154.38%0.5438
4002025-12-1116458.54%0.5854
4012025-12-1227864.03%0.6403
4022025-12-1517866.29%0.6629
4032025-12-1620462.25%0.6225
4042025-12-1721059.05%0.5905
4052025-12-1821263.21%0.6321
4062025-12-1910361.17%0.6117
4072025-12-226662.12%0.6212
4082025-12-234362.79%0.6279
4092025-12-242564.00%0.6400
4102025-12-261973.68%0.7368
4112025-12-294660.87%0.6087
4122025-12-302171.43%0.7143
4132025-12-314965.31%0.6531
4142026-01-0526865.67%0.6567
4152026-01-0711353.98%0.5398
4162026-01-0817657.95%0.5795
4172026-01-0911656.90%0.5690
4182026-01-1218256.04%0.5604
4192026-01-1333551.34%0.5134
4202026-01-1432358.82%0.5882
4212026-01-1524157.26%0.5726
4222026-01-1616353.99%0.5399
4232026-01-2039261.22%0.6122
4242026-01-2139053.33%0.5333
4252026-01-2225553.73%0.5373
4262026-01-2321757.14%0.5714
4272026-01-2826060.00%0.6000
4282026-01-2930460.86%0.6086
4292026-01-3033760.53%0.6053
4302026-02-0211158.56%0.5856
4312026-02-0342560.24%0.6024
4322026-02-0445459.47%0.5947
4332026-02-0551560.00%0.6000
4342026-02-0912753.54%0.5354
4352026-02-1022661.95%0.6195
4362026-02-1137858.47%0.5847
4372026-02-1279856.64%0.5664
4382026-02-1349256.91%0.5691
4392026-02-1733853.25%0.5325
4402026-02-1820251.49%0.5149
4412026-02-1918854.26%0.5426
4422026-02-2038951.67%0.5167
4432026-02-2339257.91%0.5791
4442026-02-2430662.09%0.6209
4452026-02-2512760.63%0.6063
4462026-02-2636862.23%0.6223
4472026-02-2753955.47%0.5547
4482026-03-0252757.69%0.5769
4492026-03-0370149.50%0.4950
4502026-03-0430951.78%0.5178
4512026-03-0551552.23%0.5223
4522026-03-0673950.74%0.5074
4532026-03-0977655.41%0.5541
4542026-03-1070055.86%0.5586
4552026-03-1161457.17%0.5717
4562026-03-1276355.31%0.5531
4572026-03-1356954.13%0.5413
4582026-03-1640859.56%0.5956
4592026-03-1732850.91%0.5091
4602026-03-1846053.04%0.5304
4612026-03-1959054.41%0.5441
4622026-03-2049460.12%0.6012
4632026-03-2372853.71%0.5371
4642026-03-2457454.36%0.5436
4652026-03-2546553.98%0.5398
4662026-03-2625955.60%0.5560
4672026-03-2750953.44%0.5344
4682026-03-3051755.90%0.5590
4692026-03-3172754.20%0.5420
4702026-04-0149353.96%0.5396
4712026-04-0254756.67%0.5667
4722026-04-0627852.52%0.5252
4732026-04-0742260.19%0.6019
4742026-04-0832561.85%0.6185
4752026-04-0917061.76%0.6176
4762026-04-1013465.67%0.6567
4772026-04-1316862.50%0.6250
4782026-04-1436150.42%0.5042
4792026-04-1525550.59%0.5059
4802026-04-1626653.76%0.5376
4812026-04-1725151.79%0.5179
4822026-04-2017553.14%0.5314
4832026-04-2137758.09%0.5809
4842026-04-2214663.70%0.6370
4852026-04-2336954.47%0.5447
4862026-04-2420253.96%0.5396
4872026-04-279460.64%0.6064
4882026-04-2813857.97%0.5797
4892026-04-2923956.49%0.5649
4902026-04-3017050.59%0.5059
4912026-05-0119655.61%0.5561
WFC · JPM+USB+PNC+GS+C->WFC
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

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Exact values: every recorded day
WFC: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-2215655.13%0.5513
1212024-10-2319548.21%0.4821
1222024-10-2416761.08%0.6108
1232024-10-2527262.13%0.6213
1242024-10-2810557.14%0.5714
1252024-10-2913255.30%0.5530
1262024-10-3012556.80%0.5680
1272024-10-3121059.52%0.5952
1282024-11-0117053.53%0.5353
1292024-11-0421250.47%0.5047
1302024-11-0515453.25%0.5325
1312024-11-0693253.43%0.5343
1322024-11-0739555.95%0.5595
1332024-11-0823651.27%0.5127
1342024-11-1130652.61%0.5261
1352024-11-1213464.18%0.6418
1362024-11-1321262.26%0.6226
1372024-11-1418455.98%0.5598
1382024-11-1528356.54%0.5654
1392024-11-1812655.56%0.5556
1402024-11-1913357.14%0.5714
1412024-11-2025860.85%0.6085
1422024-11-2125052.80%0.5280
1432024-11-2216651.81%0.5181
1442024-11-2615763.06%0.6306
1452024-11-2710559.05%0.5905
1462024-11-2911363.72%0.6372
1472024-12-0221762.67%0.6267
1482024-12-0310459.62%0.5962
1492024-12-0411367.26%0.6726
1502024-12-0513258.33%0.5833
1512024-12-0611266.07%0.6607
1522024-12-0913463.43%0.6343
1532024-12-1018359.02%0.5902
1542024-12-1116567.88%0.6788
1552024-12-1210561.90%0.6190
1562024-12-1311661.21%0.6121
1572024-12-1617556.00%0.5600
1582024-12-1719956.78%0.5678
1592024-12-1881151.66%0.5166
1602024-12-1956659.01%0.5901
1612024-12-2053453.56%0.5356
1622024-12-2327055.19%0.5519
1632024-12-245552.73%0.5273
1642024-12-267652.63%0.5263
1652024-12-2725154.98%0.5498
1662024-12-3025451.97%0.5197
1672024-12-3131251.28%0.5128
1682025-01-0246754.60%0.5460
1692025-01-0319552.82%0.5282
1702025-01-0622355.16%0.5516
1712025-01-0737252.96%0.5296
1722025-01-0824060.00%0.6000
1732025-01-1037154.45%0.5445
1742025-01-1332556.62%0.5662
1752025-01-1423953.14%0.5314
1762025-01-1537057.84%0.5784
1772025-01-1645957.73%0.5773
1782025-01-1724062.08%0.6208
1792025-01-2119760.41%0.6041
1802025-01-2218260.44%0.6044
1812025-01-2313652.21%0.5221
1822025-01-2414247.18%0.4718
1832025-01-2725263.10%0.6310
1842025-01-2819651.53%0.5153
1852025-01-2938850.26%0.5026
1862025-01-3026653.38%0.5338
1872025-01-3139854.27%0.5427
1882025-02-0362654.79%0.5479
1892025-02-0414662.33%0.6233
1902025-02-059457.45%0.5745
1912025-02-0610455.77%0.5577
1922025-02-0727255.51%0.5551
1932025-02-1012663.49%0.6349
1942025-02-119860.20%0.6020
1952025-02-1213661.03%0.6103
1962025-02-1317452.30%0.5230
1972025-02-147055.71%0.5571
1982025-02-189961.62%0.6162
1992025-02-199453.19%0.5319
2002025-02-2023862.61%0.6261
2012025-02-2126558.49%0.5849
2022025-02-2426460.23%0.6023
2032025-02-2550155.09%0.5509
2042025-02-2625956.37%0.5637
2052025-02-2744750.78%0.5078
2062025-02-2844354.63%0.5463
2072025-03-0364257.94%0.5794
2082025-03-04112856.03%0.5603
2092025-03-05101254.94%0.5494
2102025-03-0678854.57%0.5457
2112025-03-0785956.46%0.5646
2122025-03-1091853.05%0.5305
2132025-03-11117150.13%0.5013
2142025-03-1256652.12%0.5212
2152025-03-1346247.62%0.4762
2162025-03-1436749.86%0.4986
2172025-03-1730458.88%0.5888
2182025-03-1832949.24%0.4924
2192025-03-1944551.01%0.5101
2202025-03-2028249.29%0.4929
2212025-03-2127450.36%0.5036
2222025-03-2417661.36%0.6136
2232025-03-2513256.06%0.5606
2242025-03-2622257.66%0.5766
2252025-03-2726759.55%0.5955
2262025-03-2829851.01%0.5101
2272025-03-3145751.42%0.5142
2282025-04-0152253.26%0.5326
2292025-04-0235053.71%0.5371
2302025-04-03102050.78%0.5078
2312025-04-04234448.89%0.4889
2322025-04-07298951.25%0.5125
2332025-04-08225952.90%0.5290
2342025-04-09287351.17%0.5117
2352025-04-10235652.55%0.5255
2362025-04-11201451.29%0.5129
2372025-04-14101351.73%0.5173
2382025-04-1557551.48%0.5148
2392025-04-1681953.36%0.5336
2402025-04-1782253.89%0.5389
2412025-04-2133951.03%0.5103
2422025-04-2242757.14%0.5714
2432025-04-2397651.74%0.5174
2442025-04-2425955.60%0.5560
2452025-04-2530957.28%0.5728
2462025-04-2823860.50%0.6050
2472025-04-2928457.04%0.5704
2482025-04-3044452.25%0.5225
2492025-05-0131452.87%0.5287
2502025-05-0225758.37%0.5837
2512025-05-0521962.56%0.6256
2522025-05-0627459.12%0.5912
2532025-05-0768754.88%0.5488
2542025-05-0836755.04%0.5504
2552025-05-0917962.01%0.6201
2562025-05-1241355.45%0.5545
2572025-05-1321047.14%0.4714
2582025-05-1423256.03%0.5603
2592025-05-1514554.48%0.5448
2602025-05-1612361.79%0.6179
2612025-05-2334252.63%0.5263
2622025-05-279564.21%0.6421
2632025-05-2815855.06%0.5506
2642025-05-2929155.67%0.5567
2652025-05-3035552.68%0.5268
2662025-06-0220657.28%0.5728
2672025-06-0313862.32%0.6232
2682025-06-0421155.45%0.5545
2692025-06-0537553.60%0.5360
2702025-06-0615659.62%0.5962
2712025-06-0912856.25%0.5625
2722025-06-1014057.14%0.5714
2732025-06-1129949.83%0.4983
2742025-06-1216259.88%0.5988
2752025-06-1336055.56%0.5556
2762025-06-1614054.29%0.5429
2772025-06-1719551.28%0.5128
2782025-06-1831449.68%0.4968
2792025-06-2023753.16%0.5316
2802025-06-2326348.29%0.4829
2812025-06-2416944.97%0.4497
2822025-06-2510260.78%0.6078
2832025-06-2611957.14%0.5714
2842025-06-2713654.41%0.5441
2852025-06-3014554.48%0.5448
2862025-07-0120155.72%0.5572
2872025-07-0212366.67%0.6667
2882025-07-039958.59%0.5859
2892025-07-0724959.04%0.5904
2902025-07-0820354.68%0.5468
2912025-07-0913060.00%0.6000
2922025-07-107256.94%0.5694
2932025-07-118654.65%0.5465
2942025-07-1411957.14%0.5714
2952025-07-1536551.23%0.5123
2962025-07-1627554.91%0.5491
2972025-07-1721260.38%0.6038
2982025-07-1819963.32%0.6332
2992025-07-2114862.16%0.6216
3002025-07-2215759.24%0.5924
3012025-07-2316051.88%0.5188
3022025-07-2410762.62%0.6262
3032025-07-257949.37%0.4937
3042025-07-284768.09%0.6809
3052025-07-298864.77%0.6477
3062025-07-3025457.87%0.5787
3072025-07-3125054.80%0.5480
3082025-08-0145356.29%0.5629
3092025-08-0412454.03%0.5403
3102025-08-0515459.09%0.5909
3112025-08-069465.96%0.6596
3122025-08-0718863.83%0.6383
3132025-08-089566.32%0.6632
3142025-08-1113053.85%0.5385
3152025-08-1214057.14%0.5714
3162025-08-1312755.12%0.5512
3172025-08-149553.68%0.5368
3182025-08-1510664.15%0.6415
3192025-08-186160.66%0.6066
3202025-08-197262.50%0.6250
3212025-08-2019251.04%0.5104
3222025-08-2113159.54%0.5954
3232025-08-2231153.70%0.5370
3242025-08-258762.07%0.6207
3252025-08-266949.28%0.4928
3262025-08-2710854.63%0.5463
3272025-08-287754.55%0.5455
3282025-08-2912055.83%0.5583
3292025-09-0224654.47%0.5447
3302025-09-0316758.68%0.5868
3312025-09-0410955.96%0.5596
3322025-09-0544159.18%0.5918
3332025-09-0826359.32%0.5932
3342025-09-0930059.33%0.5933
3352025-09-1017155.56%0.5556
3362025-09-1115758.60%0.5860
3372025-09-129950.51%0.5051
3382025-09-159658.33%0.5833
3392025-09-1617761.02%0.6102
3402025-09-1788855.74%0.5574
3412025-09-1818556.22%0.5622
3422025-09-1914257.75%0.5775
3432025-09-228663.95%0.6395
3442025-09-2314257.04%0.5704
3452025-09-248656.98%0.5698
3462025-09-2520653.40%0.5340
3472025-09-2612154.55%0.5455
3482025-09-2911753.85%0.5385
3492025-09-3026053.08%0.5308
3502025-10-019355.91%0.5591
3512025-10-028950.56%0.5056
3522025-10-0312352.85%0.5285
3532025-10-0621349.30%0.4930
3542025-10-0715448.05%0.4805
3552025-10-0812556.80%0.5680
3562025-10-0914555.86%0.5586
3572025-10-1086154.82%0.5482
3582025-10-1322259.46%0.5946
3592025-10-1454852.92%0.5292
3602025-10-1538958.61%0.5861
3612025-10-1665059.23%0.5923
3622025-10-1741253.16%0.5316
3632025-10-2017554.29%0.5429
3642025-10-2113553.33%0.5333
3652025-10-2237953.03%0.5303
3662025-10-2316656.63%0.5663
3672025-10-2414455.56%0.5556
3682025-10-2714950.34%0.5034
3692025-10-2812765.35%0.6535
3702025-10-2943255.09%0.5509
3712025-10-3018057.22%0.5722
3722025-10-3113259.85%0.5985
3732025-11-0314864.19%0.6419
3742025-11-0417261.63%0.6163
3752025-11-0518261.54%0.6154
3762025-11-0620257.43%0.5743
3772025-11-0727958.06%0.5806
3782025-11-1014256.34%0.5634
3792025-11-1110652.83%0.5283
3802025-11-1215964.15%0.6415
3812025-11-1324154.77%0.5477
3822025-11-1458360.21%0.6021
3832025-11-1738556.36%0.5636
3842025-11-1847458.02%0.5802
3852025-11-1934654.62%0.5462
3862025-11-2094451.38%0.5138
3872025-11-2182855.68%0.5568
3882025-11-2424755.47%0.5547
3892025-11-2527350.55%0.5055
3902025-11-2613155.73%0.5573
3912025-11-283557.14%0.5714
3922025-12-017762.34%0.6234
3932025-12-027661.84%0.6184
3942025-12-039542.11%0.4211
3952025-12-0410243.14%0.4314
3962025-12-0512254.92%0.5492
3972025-12-0810247.06%0.4706
3982025-12-0917048.24%0.4824
3992025-12-1035451.69%0.5169
4002025-12-1116653.01%0.5301
4012025-12-1226251.15%0.5115
4022025-12-1519157.59%0.5759
4032025-12-1624154.36%0.5436
4042025-12-1722547.56%0.4756
4052025-12-1821952.05%0.5205
4062025-12-1913950.36%0.5036
4072025-12-226360.32%0.6032
4082025-12-235362.26%0.6226
4092025-12-243253.12%0.5312
4102025-12-263250.00%0.5000
4112025-12-295660.71%0.6071
4122025-12-304660.87%0.6087
4132025-12-317560.00%0.6000
4142026-01-0521858.72%0.5872
4152026-01-0718155.80%0.5580
4162026-01-0815659.62%0.5962
4172026-01-0911963.03%0.6303
4182026-01-1216749.10%0.4910
4192026-01-1328956.75%0.5675
4202026-01-1442850.47%0.5047
4212026-01-1518757.75%0.5775
4222026-01-1629255.14%0.5514
4232026-01-2039454.06%0.5406
4242026-01-2152454.39%0.5439
4252026-01-2228055.71%0.5571
4262026-01-2321861.47%0.6147
4272026-01-2828360.07%0.6007
4282026-01-2932252.80%0.5280
4292026-01-3039559.75%0.5975
4302026-02-0214453.47%0.5347
4312026-02-0354256.64%0.5664
4322026-02-0451455.45%0.5545
4332026-02-0550455.36%0.5536
4342026-02-0914755.78%0.5578
4352026-02-1020747.34%0.4734
4362026-02-1135660.11%0.6011
4372026-02-1273852.17%0.5217
4382026-02-1376257.87%0.5787
4392026-02-1759251.69%0.5169
4402026-02-1830257.28%0.5728
4412026-02-1927852.16%0.5216
4422026-02-2053059.43%0.5943
4432026-02-2340558.27%0.5827
4442026-02-2440462.62%0.6262
4452026-02-2519160.21%0.6021
4462026-02-2635355.52%0.5552
4472026-02-2754760.15%0.6015
4482026-03-0266656.76%0.5676
4492026-03-03102756.77%0.5677
4502026-03-0445155.43%0.5543
4512026-03-0562153.78%0.5378
4522026-03-06142555.30%0.5530
4532026-03-09111053.06%0.5306
4542026-03-1099052.83%0.5283
4552026-03-1161559.84%0.5984
4562026-03-12113359.05%0.5905
4572026-03-1359255.41%0.5541
4582026-03-1643051.86%0.5186
4592026-03-1734647.69%0.4769
4602026-03-1884650.83%0.5083
4612026-03-19107252.05%0.5205
4622026-03-2075452.52%0.5252
4632026-03-23110745.89%0.4589
4642026-03-2493150.27%0.5027
4652026-03-2591450.98%0.5098
4662026-03-2658050.34%0.5034
4672026-03-2795355.30%0.5530
4682026-03-3071244.66%0.4466
4692026-03-31100448.90%0.4890
4702026-04-0174450.13%0.5013
4712026-04-0276351.64%0.5164
4722026-04-0632153.27%0.5327
4732026-04-0760350.75%0.5075
4742026-04-0844149.43%0.4943
4752026-04-0923262.50%0.6250
4762026-04-1020655.34%0.5534
4772026-04-1328657.34%0.5734
4782026-04-1461951.86%0.5186
4792026-04-1530055.33%0.5533
4802026-04-1632659.20%0.5920
4812026-04-1733550.75%0.5075
4822026-04-2019951.26%0.5126
4832026-04-2142850.23%0.5023
4842026-04-2225354.94%0.5494
4852026-04-2332251.86%0.5186
4862026-04-2432551.08%0.5108
4872026-04-2715756.69%0.5669
4882026-04-2831257.05%0.5705
4892026-04-2920556.59%0.5659
4902026-04-3033353.75%0.5375
4912026-05-0135254.55%0.5455
XLF · JPM+C+MS+GS+PNC->XLF
100%50%0%2024-10-222026-05-01

Tap a point, or focus the plot and use arrow keys.

Exact values: every recorded day
XLF: all daily rows; no-prediction rows retained
Day indexDatenDisplay accuracyRecorded accuracy fraction
1202024-10-227574.67%0.7467
1212024-10-235576.36%0.7636
1222024-10-245875.86%0.7586
1232024-10-255881.03%0.8103
1242024-10-284665.22%0.6522
1252024-10-294780.85%0.8085
1262024-10-305265.38%0.6538
1272024-10-3110979.82%0.7982
1282024-11-016181.97%0.8197
1292024-11-047061.43%0.6143
1302024-11-054678.26%0.7826
1312024-11-0634661.56%0.6156
1322024-11-0711770.94%0.7094
1332024-11-084178.05%0.7805
1342024-11-115667.86%0.6786
1352024-11-123588.57%0.8857
1362024-11-135176.47%0.7647
1372024-11-146779.10%0.7910
1382024-11-159078.89%0.7889
1392024-11-183479.41%0.7941
1402024-11-195369.81%0.6981
1412024-11-205373.58%0.7358
1422024-11-217867.95%0.6795
1432024-11-224577.78%0.7778
1442024-11-264160.98%0.6098
1452024-11-271776.47%0.7647
1462024-11-291668.75%0.6875
1472024-12-024376.74%0.7674
1482024-12-031668.75%0.6875
1492024-12-042781.48%0.8148
1502024-12-053384.85%0.8485
1512024-12-061989.47%0.8947
1522024-12-092989.66%0.8966
1532024-12-104070.00%0.7000
1542024-12-115479.63%0.7963
1552024-12-123482.35%0.8235
1562024-12-134479.55%0.7955
1572024-12-161883.33%0.8333
1582024-12-172281.82%0.8182
1592024-12-1824565.31%0.6531
1602024-12-1916374.23%0.7423
1612024-12-2019369.43%0.6943
1622024-12-239074.44%0.7444
1632024-12-241776.47%0.7647
1642024-12-262360.87%0.6087
1652024-12-277780.52%0.8052
1662024-12-309173.63%0.7363
1672024-12-317272.22%0.7222
1682025-01-0221370.42%0.7042
1692025-01-037573.33%0.7333
1702025-01-069773.20%0.7320
1712025-01-0716659.64%0.5964
1722025-01-0811175.68%0.7568
1732025-01-1018768.98%0.6898
1742025-01-1311977.31%0.7731
1752025-01-1410571.43%0.7143
1762025-01-1514067.14%0.6714
1772025-01-169868.37%0.6837
1782025-01-176459.38%0.5938
1792025-01-218167.90%0.6790
1802025-01-224077.50%0.7750
1812025-01-232669.23%0.6923
1822025-01-242676.92%0.7692
1832025-01-2712467.74%0.6774
1842025-01-284782.98%0.8298
1852025-01-2917164.33%0.6433
1862025-01-3012576.00%0.7600
1872025-01-3117371.10%0.7110
1882025-02-0339961.40%0.6140
1892025-02-048475.00%0.7500
1902025-02-053677.78%0.7778
1912025-02-063974.36%0.7436
1922025-02-0715265.79%0.6579
1932025-02-103979.49%0.7949
1942025-02-113381.82%0.8182
1952025-02-126373.02%0.7302
1962025-02-135271.15%0.7115
1972025-02-142696.15%0.9615
1982025-02-183863.16%0.6316
1992025-02-193284.38%0.8438
2002025-02-209882.65%0.8265
2012025-02-2112576.00%0.7600
2022025-02-2416170.19%0.7019
2032025-02-2521671.30%0.7130
2042025-02-2614573.10%0.7310
2052025-02-2721472.43%0.7243
2062025-02-2832368.73%0.6873
2072025-03-0349965.93%0.6593
2082025-03-0486860.94%0.6094
2092025-03-0564360.96%0.6096
2102025-03-0645867.25%0.6725
2112025-03-0753662.31%0.6231
2122025-03-1061569.27%0.6927
2132025-03-11100357.33%0.5733
2142025-03-1237469.25%0.6925
2152025-03-1333072.73%0.7273
2162025-03-1418569.19%0.6919
2172025-03-1716367.48%0.6748
2182025-03-1820273.27%0.7327
2192025-03-1924770.45%0.7045
2202025-03-2018277.47%0.7747
2212025-03-2114170.21%0.7021
2222025-03-248778.16%0.7816
2232025-03-257865.38%0.6538
2242025-03-2611966.39%0.6639
2252025-03-2717171.93%0.7193
2262025-03-2811174.77%0.7477
2272025-03-3125670.70%0.7070
2282025-04-0129964.88%0.6488
2292025-04-0221473.36%0.7336
2302025-04-0374759.44%0.5944
2312025-04-04200552.32%0.5232
2322025-04-07305549.62%0.4962
2332025-04-08155054.39%0.5439
2342025-04-09292450.72%0.5072
2352025-04-10170150.62%0.5062
2362025-04-1195852.19%0.5219
2372025-04-1446352.48%0.5248
2382025-04-1527956.27%0.5627
2392025-04-1634957.02%0.5702
2402025-04-1732954.41%0.5441
2412025-04-2112061.67%0.6167
2422025-04-2219451.03%0.5103
2432025-04-2366852.25%0.5225
2442025-04-2414171.63%0.7163
2452025-04-2512556.00%0.5600
2462025-04-2812468.55%0.6855
2472025-04-2916260.49%0.6049
2482025-04-3026057.69%0.5769
2492025-05-0118461.96%0.6196
2502025-05-0211853.39%0.5339
2512025-05-059669.79%0.6979
2522025-05-0612267.21%0.6721
2532025-05-0742658.22%0.5822
2542025-05-0822067.73%0.6773
2552025-05-099066.67%0.6667
2562025-05-1217859.55%0.5955
2572025-05-136379.37%0.7937
2582025-05-147068.57%0.6857
2592025-05-156467.19%0.6719
2602025-05-164367.44%0.6744
2612025-05-2314058.57%0.5857
2622025-05-273076.67%0.7667
2632025-05-285178.43%0.7843
2642025-05-2910278.43%0.7843
2652025-05-3013662.50%0.6250
2662025-06-027878.21%0.7821
2672025-06-033987.18%0.8718
2682025-06-044075.00%0.7500
2692025-06-0516373.01%0.7301
2702025-06-065080.00%0.8000
2712025-06-094870.83%0.7083
2722025-06-104770.21%0.7021
2732025-06-1112477.42%0.7742
2742025-06-124075.00%0.7500
2752025-06-1317974.86%0.7486
2762025-06-165466.67%0.6667
2772025-06-178576.47%0.7647
2782025-06-1815075.33%0.7533
2792025-06-209068.89%0.6889
2802025-06-2311072.73%0.7273
2812025-06-244759.57%0.5957
2822025-06-253889.47%0.8947
2832025-06-263871.05%0.7105
2842025-06-275966.10%0.6610
2852025-06-305477.78%0.7778
2862025-07-018269.51%0.6951
2872025-07-024472.73%0.7273
2882025-07-032369.57%0.6957
2892025-07-079173.63%0.7363
2902025-07-087273.61%0.7361
2912025-07-094979.59%0.7959
2922025-07-102878.57%0.7857
2932025-07-112965.52%0.6552
2942025-07-145475.93%0.7593
2952025-07-1514375.52%0.7552
2962025-07-1621467.29%0.6729
2972025-07-176870.59%0.7059
2982025-07-185466.67%0.6667
2992025-07-214077.50%0.7750
3002025-07-224772.34%0.7234
3012025-07-235072.00%0.7200
3022025-07-244165.85%0.6585
3032025-07-253183.87%0.8387
3042025-07-282588.00%0.8800
3052025-07-294180.49%0.8049
3062025-07-3015473.38%0.7338
3072025-07-319376.34%0.7634
3082025-08-0123169.70%0.6970
3092025-08-044369.77%0.6977
3102025-08-058179.01%0.7901
3112025-08-064568.89%0.6889
3122025-08-079376.34%0.7634
3132025-08-084877.08%0.7708
3142025-08-113860.53%0.6053
3152025-08-124676.09%0.7609
3162025-08-135084.00%0.8400
3172025-08-143686.11%0.8611
3182025-08-153987.18%0.8718
3192025-08-181782.35%0.8235
3202025-08-193381.82%0.8182
3212025-08-209077.78%0.7778
3222025-08-214486.36%0.8636
3232025-08-2214163.83%0.6383
3242025-08-252391.30%0.9130
3252025-08-262290.91%0.9091
3262025-08-272286.36%0.8636
3272025-08-281687.50%0.8750
3282025-08-293894.74%0.9474
3292025-09-0211576.52%0.7652
3302025-09-035988.14%0.8814
3312025-09-044778.72%0.7872
3322025-09-0519778.68%0.7868
3332025-09-087373.97%0.7397
3342025-09-099972.73%0.7273
3352025-09-107368.49%0.6849
3362025-09-114774.47%0.7447
3372025-09-122684.62%0.8462
3382025-09-154981.63%0.8163
3392025-09-165872.41%0.7241
3402025-09-1747461.39%0.6139
3412025-09-188477.38%0.7738
3422025-09-196777.61%0.7761
3432025-09-223987.18%0.8718
3442025-09-237681.58%0.8158
3452025-09-244388.37%0.8837
3462025-09-2510278.43%0.7843
3472025-09-264772.34%0.7234
3482025-09-295682.14%0.8214
3492025-09-307284.72%0.8472
3502025-10-016272.58%0.7258
3512025-10-024571.11%0.7111
3522025-10-036369.84%0.6984
3532025-10-067071.43%0.7143
3542025-10-077581.33%0.8133
3552025-10-084269.05%0.6905
3562025-10-096776.12%0.7612
3572025-10-1049955.11%0.5511
3582025-10-1310560.95%0.6095
3592025-10-1429661.82%0.6182
3602025-10-1520573.66%0.7366
3612025-10-1631565.08%0.6508
3622025-10-1718258.24%0.5824
3632025-10-206379.37%0.7937
3642025-10-214367.44%0.6744
3652025-10-2215864.56%0.6456
3662025-10-233080.00%0.8000
3672025-10-243974.36%0.7436
3682025-10-273167.74%0.6774
3692025-10-283360.61%0.6061
3702025-10-2927660.51%0.6051
3712025-10-3012265.57%0.6557
3722025-10-316570.77%0.7077
3732025-11-036663.64%0.6364
3742025-11-048774.71%0.7471
3752025-11-055676.79%0.7679
3762025-11-0612476.61%0.7661
3772025-11-0715971.07%0.7107
3782025-11-106473.44%0.7344
3792025-11-113562.86%0.6286
3802025-11-127169.01%0.6901
3812025-11-1316673.49%0.7349
3822025-11-1419967.34%0.6734
3832025-11-1713680.15%0.8015
3842025-11-1820769.57%0.6957
3852025-11-1913578.52%0.7852
3862025-11-2048961.35%0.6135
3872025-11-2142760.66%0.6066
3882025-11-2410070.00%0.7000
3892025-11-259863.27%0.6327
3902025-11-265879.31%0.7931
3912025-11-282085.00%0.8500
3922025-12-014383.72%0.8372
3932025-12-025680.36%0.8036
3942025-12-034577.78%0.7778
3952025-12-046569.23%0.6923
3962025-12-056785.07%0.8507
3972025-12-084386.05%0.8605
3982025-12-0912969.77%0.6977
3992025-12-1016070.00%0.7000
4002025-12-119264.13%0.6413
4012025-12-1215267.76%0.6776
4022025-12-159266.30%0.6630
4032025-12-1614366.43%0.6643
4042025-12-1716667.47%0.6747
4052025-12-1811363.72%0.6372
4062025-12-195369.81%0.6981
4072025-12-224067.50%0.6750
4082025-12-232171.43%0.7143
4092025-12-24887.50%0.8750
4102025-12-261060.00%0.6000
4112025-12-291968.42%0.6842
4122025-12-301485.71%0.8571
4132025-12-313086.67%0.8667
4142026-01-0516566.06%0.6606
4152026-01-074757.45%0.5745
4162026-01-089363.44%0.6344
4172026-01-096956.52%0.5652
4182026-01-1210260.78%0.6078
4192026-01-1316563.03%0.6303
4202026-01-1413467.91%0.6791
4212026-01-1513464.18%0.6418
4222026-01-166968.12%0.6812
4232026-01-2017667.61%0.6761
4242026-01-2120166.17%0.6617
4252026-01-2211973.11%0.7311
4262026-01-237974.68%0.7468
4272026-01-2812968.99%0.6899
4282026-01-2917369.36%0.6936
4292026-01-3020173.63%0.7363
4302026-02-026966.67%0.6667
4312026-02-0320672.82%0.7282
4322026-02-0427160.89%0.6089
4332026-02-0536656.01%0.5601
4342026-02-099760.82%0.6082
4352026-02-1013862.32%0.6232
4362026-02-1115765.61%0.6561
4372026-02-1235062.86%0.6286
4382026-02-1329164.95%0.6495
4392026-02-1722056.82%0.5682
4402026-02-188268.29%0.6829
4412026-02-1912360.98%0.6098
4422026-02-2023556.60%0.5660
4432026-02-2319064.21%0.6421
4442026-02-2416867.86%0.6786
4452026-02-258070.00%0.7000
4462026-02-2615357.52%0.5752
4472026-02-2720565.37%0.6537
4482026-03-0221458.88%0.5888
4492026-03-0332365.33%0.6533
4502026-03-0415464.29%0.6429
4512026-03-0523663.56%0.6356
4522026-03-0632458.95%0.5895
4532026-03-0944160.54%0.6054
4542026-03-1030263.58%0.6358
4552026-03-1123775.95%0.7595
4562026-03-1235268.47%0.6847
4572026-03-1326267.56%0.6756
4582026-03-1620468.63%0.6863
4592026-03-1714365.73%0.6573
4602026-03-1821269.34%0.6934
4612026-03-1927365.20%0.6520
4622026-03-2025062.00%0.6200
4632026-03-2342262.80%0.6280
4642026-03-2432060.62%0.6062
4652026-03-2524556.33%0.5633
4662026-03-2614468.06%0.6806
4672026-03-2720866.35%0.6635
4682026-03-3022160.18%0.6018
4692026-03-3130763.52%0.6352
4702026-04-0118960.85%0.6085
4712026-04-0222460.27%0.6027
4722026-04-0612266.39%0.6639
4732026-04-0719261.98%0.6198
4742026-04-0817957.54%0.5754
4752026-04-098365.06%0.6506
4762026-04-107270.83%0.7083
4772026-04-139254.35%0.5435
4782026-04-1411254.46%0.5446
4792026-04-158562.35%0.6235
4802026-04-166669.70%0.6970
4812026-04-178864.77%0.6477
4822026-04-209671.88%0.7188
4832026-04-2122464.73%0.6473
4842026-04-225481.48%0.8148
4852026-04-2316363.80%0.6380
4862026-04-249758.76%0.5876
4872026-04-275567.27%0.6727
4882026-04-287758.44%0.5844
4892026-04-2910364.08%0.6408
4902026-04-3010162.38%0.6238
4912026-05-018763.22%0.6322

Scope and limits

  • 372 rows × 24 columns, not the narrative’s 167 days / roughly 370 columns; all chain counts reconcile with summary n.
  • Zero n means no predictions, not zero accuracy. This is historical, not the May 6 live session.
  • No smoothing, invented intervals or selection-isolated validation is implied.
Record context and full qualifications

Recorded May 6, 2026; dated daily rows run from October 22, 2024 through May 1, 2026. Question: how did each chain’s historical accuracy and coverage vary across recorded dates?

The file has 372 data rows and 24 columns, not the session narrative’s 167 days and approximately 370 columns. Every chain’s daily prediction counts sum to its summary denominator. Zero-denominator rows mean no predictions, not zero accuracy. This dated table is not the May 6 live session. No smoothing, invented intervals or selection-isolated validation is implied.

How this extract was made

Retain the original wide CSV unchanged. For display only, read each chain’s count/accuracy pair beside its date and day index. No rows are removed and no rounded rate is backsolved into exact correct counts.

Download bank-chains-daily.csv · 372 rows · 48,683 bytes
SHA-256 f9641f2c4a9e52a8ea193d0efb91ddb0c98ef3e2de20a5d83d825570c9d0f3cc

← Back to this result in the paper

All forty half-split rows

● First half · ◇ Second half. The connector joins aggregate halves, not events.

0%50%100%
BAC · BID
● 87.74% · n = 4,749◇ 82.09% · n = 4,851
BAC · ASK
● 85.71% · n = 5,068◇ 84.91% · n = 5,011
C · BID
● 89.07% · n = 3,835◇ 93.30% · n = 4,773
C · ASK
● 88.81% · n = 3,448◇ 91.87% · n = 3,762
DB · BID
● 94.78% · n = 536◇ 83.06% · n = 360
DB · ASK
● 94.29% · n = 560◇ 87.78% · n = 360
GS · BID
● 99.16% · n = 3,579◇ 99.18% · n = 4,746
detail of 95 to 100%
95%97.5%100%
GS · ASK
● 99.40% · n = 2,846◇ 99.05% · n = 3,670
detail of 95 to 100%
95%97.5%100%
JPM · BID
● 97.93% · n = 10,969◇ 98.92% · n = 12,801
detail of 95 to 100%
95%97.5%100%
JPM · ASK
● 99.07% · n = 20,215◇ 99.33% · n = 20,557
detail of 95 to 100%
95%97.5%100%
MS · BID
● 94.57% · n = 2,854◇ 98.07% · n = 4,913
MS · ASK
● 93.38% · n = 2,373◇ 98.02% · n = 3,589
PNC · BID
● 98.65% · n = 2,894◇ 99.40% · n = 2,661
detail of 95 to 100%
95%97.5%100%
PNC · ASK
● 98.57% · n = 1,962◇ 98.94% · n = 2,540
detail of 95 to 100%
95%97.5%100%
USB · BID
● 88.68% · n = 2,651◇ 88.48% · n = 2,049
USB · ASK
● 87.26% · n = 2,511◇ 88.95% · n = 2,019
WFC · BID
● 85.81% · n = 5,397◇ 93.51% · n = 6,241
WFC · ASK
● 83.80% · n = 7,438◇ 93.08% · n = 6,788
XLF · BID
● 97.46% · n = 1,928◇ 96.94% · n = 1,144
detail of 95 to 100%
95%97.5%100%
XLF · ASK
● 95.94% · n = 1,898◇ 96.71% · n = 1,155
detail of 95 to 100%
95%97.5%100%
Exact values: all forty half-split rows
Exact recorded values
tickerc_sidehalfnp_correct_pct
BACBIDfirst_half474987.74
BACBIDsecond_half485182.09
BACASKfirst_half506885.71
BACASKsecond_half501184.91
CBIDfirst_half383589.07
CBIDsecond_half477393.30
CASKfirst_half344888.81
CASKsecond_half376291.87
DBBIDfirst_half53694.78
DBBIDsecond_half36083.06
DBASKfirst_half56094.29
DBASKsecond_half36087.78
GSBIDfirst_half357999.16
GSBIDsecond_half474699.18
GSASKfirst_half284699.40
GSASKsecond_half367099.05
JPMBIDfirst_half1096997.93
JPMBIDsecond_half1280198.92
JPMASKfirst_half2021599.07
JPMASKsecond_half2055799.33
MSBIDfirst_half285494.57
MSBIDsecond_half491398.07
MSASKfirst_half237393.38
MSASKsecond_half358998.02
PNCBIDfirst_half289498.65
PNCBIDsecond_half266199.40
PNCASKfirst_half196298.57
PNCASKsecond_half254098.94
USBBIDfirst_half265188.68
USBBIDsecond_half204988.48
USBASKfirst_half251187.26
USBASKsecond_half201988.95
WFCBIDfirst_half539785.81
WFCBIDsecond_half624193.51
WFCASKfirst_half743883.80
WFCASKsecond_half678893.08
XLFBIDfirst_half192897.46
XLFBIDsecond_half114496.94
XLFASKfirst_half189895.94
XLFASKsecond_half115596.71

Scope and limits

  • Conditional same-ticker trade side, not live price direction or profit; aggregates are not event outcomes.
  • BID requires preceding bid-size and bid-order-count shares below 30%; ASK requires both at least 70%. The next trade delay is positive and at most 1 ms.
  • The split does not establish condition-selection isolation from the second half.
Record context and full qualifications

Measured May 11, 2026 on 250 historical dates, May 1, 2024–April 30, 2025. The completion log splits the dates after October 28, 2024; the second half starts October 29, 2024. Question: does selected next-trade-side consistency persist across the two halves?

These are conditional same-ticker trade-side results, not live price-direction accuracy. The preceding book must have both bid-size and bid-order-count shares below 30% for a BID trigger, or at least 70% for an ASK trigger. The next same-ticker trade must have positive delay no greater than one millisecond. The split does not establish that selecting the condition was isolated from the second half. These aggregates do not expose event-level outcomes or profit.

How this extract was made

Keep every ticker, side, half, denominator and recorded percent, with original bytes. Reviewed source defines the condition; the reviewed completion log supplies the split boundary. No raw book observations, event prices, sizes or streams enter the extract.

Download next-trade-side-halves.csv · 40 rows · 1,235 bytes
SHA-256 a676c9d9439151ab69482cf3c3f69459c82b3750e7f94c076e7b137be7328ce1

← Back to this result in the paper

May 6 live tally: no event ledger recovered

Historical summary receipt — not item-level observations
Recorded fieldValueUnit
resolved242predictions
correct171predictions
reported accuracy70.7percent
source reported 95 interval64.9–76.5percent
Exact recorded fields and values
Exact recorded values
metricrecorded_valueunit
resolved242predictions
correct171predictions
reported_accuracy70.7percent
source_reported_95_interval64.9–76.5percent

The historical note reports 64.9–76.5%; its calculation method is unrecorded, and these endpoints were not reproduced from 171/242 using normal, Wilson or Clopper–Pearson intervals. For comparison only, an independent-binomial Wilson 95% interval is 64.6–76.0%. This comparison does not adjust for correlated predictions or establish sustained performance.

Scope and limits

  • Summary only: no original event ledger, per-target audit or frozen executable/configuration identity was recovered; later runners differ and postdate it.
  • Source-reported interval; one session with correlated predictions. Unusable/no-move opportunities are excluded.
  • Predictions are not executed trades; no public event timeline is manufactured.
Record context and full qualifications

May 6, 2026 status receipt. One real-time bank/XLF directional session; the runner was described as emitting prediction and resolution events.

Only a summary receipt is available here. The original event-by-event prediction/resolution log was not found in the inventory’s bounded search. There is no public event timeline, per-target audit or frozen executable/configuration identity for this tally. The interval is source-reported; this single session contains correlated predictions and excludes unusable/no-move opportunities. Predictions are not executed trades. Later runner copies differ and postdate the session; they are not offered as the exact live implementation.

How this extract was made

Transcribe only the reviewed resolved/correct totals, reported percentage and source-reported interval. Omit runner code, operational fields and all surrounding private material. No individual observations are manufactured.

Download bank-live-summary-receipt.csv · 4 rows · 155 bytes
SHA-256 5b900426dd8fe9f02ed4da6388f816750be42a169af0a4f903ee7c4baa06e357

← Back to this result in the paper

XLF: different questions, different denominators

Selected-bar aggregate

Original selected-bar result
Predictor → targetBarDirectionBody conditionnNext same direction
XLF → XLF1 minuteDownAt least 15 bps246085.33%

Denominator: 2,460 qualifying current/next-bar pairs. The current XLF bar is down by at least 15 bps; the next XLF bar must exist, be valid, and have a nonzero open-to-close change. Invalid, unavailable and flat next bars are excluded.

Trigger-duration aggregate

All duration bins; at most five following bars
Consecutive down bars after triggerCountRecorded fraction (%)
020153.89
18723.32
24311.53
3266.97
4112.95
551.34
Recorded trigger summary; derived aggregate statistics, not price bars
Trigger countFive-bar cumulative mean (bps)Five-bar cumulative SD (bps)
3733.2147.01

Scope and limits

  • Selected-bar and trigger-duration results use different cohorts and denominators; roughly 46% is the complement of the zero-duration bin, not a recalculation.
  • For 201 of 373 triggers (53.89%), the procedure counted no immediately following consecutive down bar. This does not mean that none of the later bars was down. Missing or invalid follow-up can also terminate the procedure.
  • No causal or profitable trading claim follows.
Record context and full qualifications

May 11, 2026 aggregate outputs. The earlier record selects large down one-minute XLF bars. The duration procedure separately counts consecutive down bars, up to five, following large-down triggers.

The earlier percentage and the trigger-duration record do not describe the same cohort. For 201 of 373 triggers (53.89%), the procedure counted no immediately following consecutive down bar. This does not mean that none of the later bars was down. Missing or invalid follow-up can also terminate the procedure. The paper’s roughly 46% follow-through wording refers to the complement of that zero row, not a like-for-like recalculation of the earlier percentage. No causal or profitable trading claim follows. The duration code stops at missing/invalid later bars or the available day boundary; a zero bin alone does not distinguish reversal from lack of usable follow-up.

How this extract was made

Select the exact XLF-to-XLF one-minute down/ge15bps row from the larger aggregate table; drop unrelated conditions. Keep every duration bin and the trigger-summary footer from its separate section. Omit the precursor outcome buckets and all raw market data.

Download xlf-selected-bar.csv · 1 rows · 105 bytes
SHA-256 b40ca32c28f21e952a7dcb36ea22c0ee769bc7fdca7d58ae59112bfc4289201f

Download xlf-trigger-duration.csv · 6 rows · 106 bytes
SHA-256 f718415e29b7994a7ba3fabe180747ce3621f5f74a77bee0445de38bcec27123

Download xlf-trigger-summary.csv · 1 rows · 57 bytes
SHA-256 82542bd552ef14eb830d432f8eaf1c199046740e75f137fb2efb577969a47b56

← Back to this result in the paper

The return correction: separate experiments

Earlier headline: source summary only

Historical summary receipt — not item-level observations
Recorded fieldValueUnit
recorded return+138.76percent
historical window48trading dates
Exact recorded fields and values
Exact recorded values
metricrecorded_valueunit
recorded_return+138.76percent
historical_window48trading dates

Separate realistic-fill simulation: day receipts

Actual DAY summary lines; not individual trades
Deployment dayReported cash ($)Return (%)Cumulative tradesCumulative wins
199986.55-0.0152
299756.54-0.24103
399958.90-0.04197
499660.40-0.34269
599868.42-0.134114
6100029.09+0.034516
799659.14-0.346118
898935.45-1.067321

Scope and limits

  • Separate windows and procedures: not a like-for-like recalculation. The full headline artifact was not identified; its receipt is documentary.
  • The shorter run has actual DAY receipts but no trade ledger; the final log rounds more coarsely than the last DAY row.
  • Recorded DAY values are preserved without recalculation. These are simulated trades, not live returns.
Record context and full qualifications

April 26, 2026 session/log. The earlier historical run selected programs under frictionless fill assumptions. A separate frozen simulation trained on February 17 and deployed over February 18–27, 2026 with realistic fills and a configured 200 ms latency.

The original full headline run artifact was not identified; its entry is a documentary receipt only. The shorter run has real day-summary lines, but no individual trade ledger. Different evaluation windows and procedures prevent a like-for-like recalculation. The final log prints a coarser return than its last DAY row; the download preserves the DAY values and does not silently substitute recalculated returns. These are simulated trades, not live returns.

How this extract was made

Transcribe the headline and window from the reviewed session. Parse only the eight deployment DAY lines from the separate log, keeping day, reported cash/return and cumulative trade/win counts. Drop command lines, process IDs, file paths, per-feed activity, environment and all surrounding operational output.

Download simulation-headline-receipt.csv · 2 rows · 94 bytes
SHA-256 c3e083e17574706c4b63dbc27d18f545f2b209905afeb2ea7a2434061bc58f62

Download simulation-daily-receipts.csv · 8 rows · 267 bytes
SHA-256 49507ec38740c429fdc3c6f0b7e47418929fae5630dc41f8adb660663c252ccb

← Back to this result in the paper

What is not available here

No original May 6 live-event log, exact bank-specific shuffle output or underlying FX shuffle table was recovered. The documented FX shuffle is not relabelled as bank evidence. A May 1 hourly historical table is outside this release and is not used to fill the May 6 gap.

Earlier architecture records, auxiliary controls and unsuccessful branches remain outside this release. The public files do not include raw vendor ticks, bars, order books, binary states, account data or runner credentials. Acquired downstream-market data is not evidence that a wider-market evaluation was completed.

Extraction and reuse

The CSV and JSON downloads contain derived research records only. Summary receipts are transcriptions of reviewed technical fields, not recovered individual observations. No new model evaluation was run. Numerical filtering re-applies the archived procedure to the surviving sweep.

The extraction script reads private inputs through a private source map. Only field-allowlisted outputs enter this site. The local extraction script is tools/extract_evidence.py; download the file manifest. Dates on documentary receipts refer to the dated document, not independently verified execution times.

Original CSVs retain their exact bytes and recorded rounding. Generated CSVs use UTF-8 and LF. File hashes identify the exact downloads. Rounded accuracies are not used to reconstruct correct-event counts.

← back to the paper